02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

9 players checked · 7 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 0 of 9 players have performed clearly differently and 1 shows a slight hint · No starting lineup yet; showing every player with a line

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Brooklyn Netsplaying POR

Ben Saraf · minutes unknown
assists 4.5 → 2 actual
Josh Minott · minutes unknown
points 11.5 → 15 actual
Nolan Traore · minutes unknown
assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Portland Trail Blazersplaying BKN

Deni Avdija · minutes unknown
assists 6.5 → 2 actual
Donovan Clingan · minutes unknown
rebounds 12.5 → 15 actual
Jrue Holiday · minutes unknown
assists 6.5 → 4 actual
Scoot Henderson · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual
Sidy Cissoko · minutes unknown
points 6.5 → 5 actual
Toumani Camara · minutes unknown
3-pointers 2.5 → 9 actual
04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 242 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

In 2 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.
FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below
9 other players with a posted line
Toumani Camara · 3-pointers 2.5 → 9 · 6.5 above the line · played 28.2 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.14, Under 1.68
Scoot Henderson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 23.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00
Deni Avdija · assists 6.5 → 2 · 4.5 below the line · played 20.9 min · Fanatics odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69
Ben Saraf · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 18.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.85
Jrue Holiday · assists 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 27.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.61
Josh Minott · points 11.5 → 15 · 3.5 above the line · played 32.7 min · no final price
Sidy Cissoko · points 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87
Donovan Clingan · rebounds 12.5 → 15 · 2.5 above the line · played 24.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.02
Nolan Traore · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.4 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.76

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

POR vs BKN · last 13 games · POR leads · POR record 7–6 · average score 116.8–112.2 · POR has won by 4.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

23 Mar · BKN 99 at POR 134POR won
16 Mar · POR 114 at BKN 95POR won
What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 34 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 116 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 131 ms
sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 131 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 147 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 155 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 168 ms
sds history (h2h)ok · 170 ms
sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 4 ms
sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 4 ms
sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 174 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 179 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 181 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 200 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 87 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 514 ms
odds game timelineok 200 · 661 ms
grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3193 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 57 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 154 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 157 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 161 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 171 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 175 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 186 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 216 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 228 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 229 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 232 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 269 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 272 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 364 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 466 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 544 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 544 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 573 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 573 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 582 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 584 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 584 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 613 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.