NBA · Apr 7 gameAll props Full sheet

Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors

FinalSAC 105 – GSW 110Page updated 14:59 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Sacramento Kings

Dylan Cardwell · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 8 actual

Malik Monk · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 4 actual

Maxime Raynaud · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 7 actual

Nique Clifford · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

Precious Achiuwa · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 6 actual

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

De'Anthony Melton · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 21 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

Kristaps Porziņģis · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → no final stat available

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

3-pointers 4.5 → 4 actual

Will Richard · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSW expected to win by about 14.5 · both teams together expected to score about 234.5 points · odds to win: SAC 8.00, GSW 1.09

Game odds from 10 bookmakers · observed Wed 01:54 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:59 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 282 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Draymond Green · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.13

Malik Monk · points 13.5 → 4 · 9.5 below the line · played 10.6 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.83

Nique Clifford · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 35.5 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.09

De'Anthony Melton · points 13.5 → 21 · 7.5 above the line · played 28.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Brandin Podziemski · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Gary Payton II · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Maxime Raynaud · rebounds 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.01

Stephen Curry · 3-pointers 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 25 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.18, Under 1.65

Precious Achiuwa · rebounds 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.04

Dylan Cardwell · points 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.98

Kristaps Porziņģis · rebounds 5.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Will Richard · points 8.5 → no final stat available · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.78

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs SAC · last 32 games · GSW leads · GSW record 19–13 · average score 117.1–113.2 · GSW has won by 3.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · GSW 118 at SAC 124GSW lost

7 Apr · SAC 105 at GSW 110GSW won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Bovada first had GSW expected to win by 15.5, expected total 234 (Tue 02:51 UTC) and later GSW expected to win by 14.5, expected total 233.5 (Wed 01:54 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 16 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 88 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 96 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 97 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 97 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 98 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 105 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 112 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 120 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 186 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 131 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 846 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 981 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 301 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 312 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 317 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2442 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2184 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2213 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2213 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2231 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2232 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2231 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2232 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2255 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2287 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2390 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2392 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2392 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.