02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

15 players checked · 7 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 3 of 15 players have performed clearly differently and 8 show a slight hint · No starting lineup yet; showing every player with a line · playoff series: too few games to measure a difference

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Orlando Magicplaying DET

Anthony Black · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual
Desmond Bane · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 5 actual
Franz Wagner · minutes unknown
rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual
Goga Bitadze · minutes unknown
rebounds 3.5 → 6 actual
Jalen Suggs · minutes unknown
3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual
Jamal Cain · minutes unknown
points + rebounds + assists 6.5 → 3 actual
Paolo Banchero · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual
Tristan da Silva · minutes unknown
points 4.5 → 7 actual
Wendell Carter Jr. · minutes unknown
points 9.5 → 17 actual

Detroit Pistonsplaying ORL

Ausar Thompson · minutes unknown
rebounds 5.5 → 7 actual
Cade Cunningham · minutes unknown
assists 9.5 → 4 actual
Daniss Jenkins · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 2 actual
Duncan Robinson · minutes unknown
rebounds 2.5 → 0 actual
Jalen Duren · minutes unknown
points 20.5 → 8 actual
Kevin Huerter · minutes unknown
points 5.5 → 3 actual
04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

ORL had 7 days off before this game · DET had 7 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 286 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

In 5 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.
FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below
15 other players with a posted line
Duncan Robinson · rebounds 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 26 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74
Wendell Carter Jr. · points 9.5 → 17 · 7.5 above the line · played 36.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45
Goga Bitadze · rebounds 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 11.3 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.09
Jalen Duren · points 20.5 → 8 · 12.5 below the line · played 32.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38
Cade Cunningham · assists 9.5 → 4 · 5.5 below the line · played 40.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38
Tristan da Silva · points 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 20.9 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.79, Under 2.00
Jamal Cain · points + rebounds + assists 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77
Kevin Huerter · points 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 18.5 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.84
Desmond Bane · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67
Daniss Jenkins · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 22.3 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.81
Anthony Black · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45
Paolo Banchero · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 37 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.53
Ausar Thompson · rebounds 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 25.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36
Jalen Suggs · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.55, Under 1.48
Franz Wagner · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

DET vs ORL · last 30 games · ORL leads · DET record 14–16 · average score 106.1–106.6 · DET has lost by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

3 May · ORL 94 at DET 116DET won
1 May · DET 93 at ORL 79DET won
29 Apr · ORL 109 at DET 116DET won
27 Apr · DET 88 at ORL 94DET lost
25 Apr · DET 105 at ORL 113DET lost
22 Apr · ORL 83 at DET 98DET won
19 Apr · ORL 112 at DET 101DET lost
6 Apr · DET 107 at ORL 123DET lost
1 Mar · DET 106 at ORL 92DET won
What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 78
sds games/date (2026-04-18)ok 200 · 132 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-10)ok 200 · 149 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-08)ok 200 · 153 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-07)ok 200 · 154 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-05)ok 200 · 158 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 169 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 354 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 356 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-13)ok 200 · 358 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 359 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 399 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-17)ok 200 · 401 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-14)ok 200 · 405 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-16)ok 200 · 407 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 414 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 421 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-06)ok 200 · 425 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-15)ok 200 · 428 ms
sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 434 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-12)ok 200 · 438 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-11)ok 200 · 440 ms
sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 30 ms
sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 32 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-09)ok 200 · 451 ms
sds history (h2h)ok · 460 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 461 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 463 ms
sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 466 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 474 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 92 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 885 ms
odds game timelineok 200 · 1037 ms
grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1340 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 217 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 252 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 296 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 304 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 307 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 317 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 325 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 329 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 332 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 335 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 351 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 365 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 370 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 375 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 387 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 408 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 444 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 500 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 513 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 520 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 554 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 558 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 613 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 622 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 639 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 654 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 657 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 663 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 678 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 709 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 869 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 870 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 872 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 872 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 873 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 895 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 962 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 962 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 966 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1246 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1438 ms
odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1441 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1439 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1440 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1443 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.