NBA · Apr 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalDEN 96 – MIN 112Page updated 11:36 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 8 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 5 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 9.5 → 9 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 0 actual

Ayo Dosunmu · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Bones Hyland · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 8.5 → 16 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

rebounds 11.5 → 15 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 229.5 points · odds to win: DEN 1.82, MIN 2.04

Game odds from 10 bookmakers · observed Sat 00:38 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:36 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 326 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Anthony Edwards · assists 4.5 → 0 · 4.5 below the line · played 17.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Jaden McDaniels · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 33 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.56

Bones Hyland · points + rebounds + assists 8.5 → 16 · 7.5 above the line · played 19.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.76

Ayo Dosunmu · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 42 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Donte DiVincenzo · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 1.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.80

Cameron Johnson · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Aaron Gordon · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 23.2 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.26, Under 1.62

Christian Braun · points 11.5 → 8 · 3.5 below the line · played 33.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Rudy Gobert · rebounds 11.5 → 15 · 3.5 above the line · played 35.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Jamal Murray · assists 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 42 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.85, Under 1.40

Nikola Jokić · assists 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 40.6 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.83

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs DEN · last 45 games · DEN leads · MIN record 21–24 · average score 112.2–111.1 · MIN has won by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Apr · DEN 98 at MIN 110MIN won

27 Apr · MIN 113 at DEN 125MIN lost

25 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 112MIN won

23 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 113MIN won

20 Apr · MIN 119 at DEN 114MIN won

18 Apr · MIN 105 at DEN 116MIN lost

1 Mar · MIN 117 at DEN 108MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Fanatics first had DEN expected to win by 2, expected total 229.5 (Fri 05:34 UTC) and later DEN expected to win by 1, expected total 229.5 (Sat 00:38 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 66

sds games/date (2026-04-24)ok 200 · 190 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-23)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-22)ok 200 · 194 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-21)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-20)ok 200 · 197 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-19)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-18)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-16)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-17)ok 200 · 200 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-15)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-14)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-13)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-12)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-11)ok 200 · 209 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 210 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 218 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 371 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 372 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 380 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 383 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 389 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 418 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 417 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 420 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 421 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 423 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 424 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 219 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 603 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 61 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 68 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 71 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 88 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 89 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 316 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 326 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 336 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 956 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 360 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 400 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 408 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 419 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1748 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1671 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1670 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1675 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1679 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2153 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2205 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 2405 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2481 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2485 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2483 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2511 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.