02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

14 players checked · 7 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 3 of 14 players have performed clearly differently and 5 show a slight hint · No starting lineup yet; showing every player with a line · playoff series: too few games to measure a difference

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Detroit Pistonsplaying ORL

Ausar Thompson · minutes unknown
points 8.5 → 17 actual
Cade Cunningham · minutes unknown
assists 9.5 → 9 actual
Daniss Jenkins · minutes unknown
points 6.5 → 5 actual
Duncan Robinson · minutes unknown
points 10.5 → 10 actual
Jalen Duren · minutes unknown
points 15.5 → 8 actual

Orlando Magicplaying DET

Anthony Black · minutes unknown
assists 2.5 → 1 actual
Desmond Bane · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 0 actual
Franz Wagner · minutes unknown
points 16.5 → 17 actual
Goga Bitadze · minutes unknown
rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual
Jalen Suggs · minutes unknown
rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual
Jamal Cain · minutes unknown
points + rebounds + assists 3.5 → 8 actual
Paolo Banchero · minutes unknown
assists 5.5 → 9 actual
Tristan da Silva · minutes unknown
points 5.5 → 0 actual
Wendell Carter Jr. · minutes unknown
points 9.5 → 14 actual
04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 278 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

In 6 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.
FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below
14 other players with a posted line
Jamal Cain · points + rebounds + assists 3.5 → 8 · 4.5 above the line · played 14 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00
Ausar Thompson · points 8.5 → 17 · 8.5 above the line · played 37.3 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.78
Desmond Bane · assists 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 38.3 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.86
Tristan da Silva · points 5.5 → 0 · 5.5 below the line · played 8.7 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.83
Paolo Banchero · assists 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 38.2 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.21, Under 1.63
Anthony Black · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.9 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.17, Under 1.65
Jalen Duren · points 15.5 → 8 · 7.5 below the line · played 27.5 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.85
Wendell Carter Jr. · points 9.5 → 14 · 4.5 above the line · played 36.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.02
Goga Bitadze · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 10.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63
Jalen Suggs · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63
Daniss Jenkins · points 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 6.7 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.78, Under 2.01
Cade Cunningham · assists 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 41.2 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.91
Duncan Robinson · points 10.5 → 10 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.98
Franz Wagner · points 16.5 → 17 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.85

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

ORL vs DET · last 30 games · ORL leads · ORL record 16–14 · average score 106.6–106.1 · ORL has won by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

3 May · ORL 94 at DET 116ORL lost
1 May · DET 93 at ORL 79ORL lost
29 Apr · ORL 109 at DET 116ORL lost
27 Apr · DET 88 at ORL 94ORL won
25 Apr · DET 105 at ORL 113ORL won
22 Apr · ORL 83 at DET 98ORL lost
19 Apr · ORL 112 at DET 101ORL won
6 Apr · DET 107 at ORL 123ORL won
1 Mar · DET 106 at ORL 92ORL lost
What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Fanatics first had DET expected to win by 2.5, expected total 213.5 () and later DET expected to win by 2.5, expected total 214 ().

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 75
sds games/date (2026-04-24)ok 200 · 88 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-23)ok 200 · 89 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-22)ok 200 · 90 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-21)ok 200 · 90 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-20)ok 200 · 96 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-19)ok 200 · 97 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-18)ok 200 · 99 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-17)ok 200 · 100 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-16)ok 200 · 101 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-15)ok 200 · 102 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-14)ok 200 · 102 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-13)ok 200 · 103 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-12)ok 200 · 104 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 128 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 317 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 318 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-11)ok 200 · 321 ms
sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms
sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 334 ms
sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 333 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 339 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 340 ms
sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 362 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 369 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 375 ms
sds history (h2h)ok · 378 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 380 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 387 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 94 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 736 ms
odds game timelineok 200 · 855 ms
grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1146 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 53 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 56 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 101 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 202 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 209 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 233 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 243 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 249 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 304 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 310 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 317 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 329 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 332 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 337 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 353 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 357 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 376 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 385 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 391 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 396 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 399 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 406 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 409 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 412 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 882 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 884 ms
odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 889 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 894 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 917 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 926 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 948 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 949 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 965 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 969 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 976 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1069 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1101 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1199 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.