NBA · May 11 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Lakers

FinalOKC 115 – LAL 110Page updated 06:55 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes30 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

SAjay Mitchell · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 9 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

SChet Holmgren · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 16 actual

SIsaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 5 actual

Isaiah Joe · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 0 actual

Jared McCain · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 13 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 1 actual

SLuguentz Dort · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

SShai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

points 28.5 → 35 actual

5 more players · no line in this feed

Aaron WigginsMinutes unavailable

Jalen WilliamsMinutes unavailable

Kenrich WilliamsMinutes unavailable

Nikola TopićMinutes unavailable

Thomas SorberMinutes unavailable

Los Angeles Lakers

Adou Thiero · minutes unknown

points 1.5 → 0 actual

SAustin Reaves · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 6 actual

SDeandre Ayton · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 6 actual

Jaxson Hayes · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 18 actual

SLeBron James · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Luke Kennard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

SMarcus Smart · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

SRui Hachimura · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

7 more players · no line in this feed

Bronny JamesMinutes unavailable

Dalton KnechtMinutes unavailable

Jake LaRaviaMinutes unavailable

Jarred VanderbiltMinutes unavailable

Luka DončićMinutes unavailable

Maxi KleberMinutes unavailable

Nick Smith Jr.Minutes unavailable

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 12.5 · both teams together expected to score about 214.5 points · odds to win: OKC 1.17, LAL 5.43

Game odds from 10 bookmakers · observed Tue 02:18 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 06:55 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Tue 01:35 UTC) · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 336 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

18 other players with a posted line

Jaxson Hayes · points 3.5 → 18 · 14.5 above the line · played 27 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.99

Jared McCain · points 4.5 → 13 · 8.5 above the line · played 15.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.78

Isaiah Joe · points 5.5 → 0 · 5.5 below the line · played 7.5 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Adou Thiero · points 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 2.8 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.96

Jaylin Williams · rebounds 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 8.7 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.74

Marcus Smart · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.22, Under 1.62

Isaiah Hartenstein · points 8.5 → 5 · 3.5 below the line · played 28 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.08, Under 1.72

Alex Caruso · points 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 21.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Deandre Ayton · points 9.5 → 6 · 3.5 below the line · played 20.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.80

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.38

Luguentz Dort · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.79

LeBron James · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 40.4 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.93

Luke Kennard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.94

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · points 28.5 → 35 · 6.5 above the line · played 39.3 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Ajay Mitchell · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 33 min · Fanatics odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Rui Hachimura · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 43.2 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.78

Chet Holmgren · points 17.5 → 16 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.2 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.88

Austin Reaves · assists 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 43 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.08, Under 1.70

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAL vs OKC · last 29 games · OKC leads · LAL record 14–15 · average score 111.9–115.1 · LAL has lost by 3.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

11 May · OKC 115 at LAL 110LAL lost

9 May · OKC 131 at LAL 108LAL lost

7 May · LAL 107 at OKC 125LAL lost

5 May · LAL 90 at OKC 108LAL lost

7 Apr · OKC 123 at LAL 87LAL lost

2 Apr · LAL 96 at OKC 139LAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

OKC gives up107.9 points · 44.6 rebounds · 24.9 assists · 36.7% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

BetRivers first had OKC expected to win by 11, expected total 215 (Mon 16:10 UTC) and later OKC expected to win by 12.5, expected total 214.5 (Tue 02:18 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 85

sds games/date (2026-05-06)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-30)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-29)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-05)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-01)ok 200 · 79 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-02)ok 200 · 79 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-28)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-09)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-10)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-04)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-07)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-27)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-08)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-03)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 126 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 188 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 221 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 222 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 227 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 232 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 233 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 240 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 251 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 257 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 263 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 92 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 792 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 865 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1076 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 70 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 72 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 94 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 108 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 115 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 117 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 349 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 371 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 400 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 451 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 450 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 453 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 455 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 495 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 499 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 503 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 506 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2475 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2505 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2554 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2556 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2625 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2645 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2691 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2773 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2779 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2780 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2780 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2783 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2817 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2826 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2827 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2830 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 3056 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.