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WNBA · Playoffsupdated

WNBA Playoffs 2023

Every series in one place: the score, each game, what the betting market expects, who is injured, how the two teams have done against each other, and how our picks did.

The small number beside a team is its seed, its finishing place in the regular season (1 is the best). The better seed has home court: it hosts game 1 and, if the series goes all the way, the last game.

This is the 2023 bracket. See the 2026 playoffs

First round

First round · Best of 3 · first to 2 wins

Las Vegas Aces against Chicago Sky

  • Seed 1Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas2 wins
  • Seed 8Chicago SkyChicago0 wins

Las Vegas won 2⁠–⁠0

  1. Game 1Chicago at Las VegasWed Sep 13 · Las Vegas won 87–59
  2. Game 2Chicago at Las VegasSun Sep 17 · Las Vegas won 92–70
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2023 regular season: Las Vegas 3, Chicago 0 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

None since 2021.

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: Las Vegas 97% to win the series (21 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Las Vegas leading 1⁠–⁠0: Las Vegas 99% to win the series (20 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

First round · Best of 3 · first to 2 wins

Dallas Wings against Atlanta Dream

  • Seed 4Dallas WingsDallas2 wins
  • Seed 5Atlanta DreamAtlanta0 wins

Dallas won 2⁠–⁠0

  1. Game 1Atlanta at DallasFri Sep 15 · Dallas won 94–82
  2. Game 2Atlanta at DallasTue Sep 19 · Dallas won 101–74
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2023 regular season: Dallas 3, Atlanta 0 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

None since 2021.

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: Dallas 71⁠–⁠75% to win the series (22 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Dallas leading 1⁠–⁠0: Dallas 88⁠–⁠90% to win the series (22 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

First round · Best of 3 · first to 2 wins

New York Liberty against Washington Mystics

  • Seed 2New York LibertyNew York2 wins
  • Seed 7Washington MysticsWashington0 wins

New York won 2⁠–⁠0

  1. Game 1Washington at New YorkFri Sep 15 · New York won 90–75
  2. Game 2Washington at New YorkTue Sep 19 · New York won 90–85
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2023 regular season: New York 2, Washington 2 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

None since 2021.

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: New York 86⁠–⁠89% to win the series (22 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, New York leading 1⁠–⁠0: New York 95⁠–⁠96% to win the series (22 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

First round · Best of 3 · first to 2 wins

Connecticut Sun against Minnesota Lynx

  • Seed 3Connecticut SunConnecticut2 wins
  • Seed 6Minnesota LynxMinnesota1 win

Connecticut won 2⁠–⁠1

  1. Game 1Minnesota at ConnecticutWed Sep 13 · Connecticut won 90–60
  2. Game 2Minnesota at ConnecticutSun Sep 17 · Minnesota won 82–75
  3. Game 3Connecticut at MinnesotaWed Sep 20 · Connecticut won 90–75
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2023 regular season: Connecticut 3, Minnesota 1 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

None since 2021.

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: Connecticut 85⁠–⁠87% to win the series (21 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Connecticut leading 1⁠–⁠0: Connecticut 93⁠–⁠94% to win the series (20 betting sites)
  • Before game 3, series tied 1⁠–⁠1: Connecticut 67% to win the series (20 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

Semifinals

Semifinal 1 · Best of 5 · first to 3 wins

Las Vegas Aces against Dallas Wings

  • Seed 1Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas3 wins
  • Seed 4Dallas WingsDallas0 wins

Las Vegas won 3⁠–⁠0

  1. Game 1Dallas at Las VegasSun Sep 24 · Las Vegas won 97–83
  2. Game 2Dallas at Las VegasTue Sep 26 · Las Vegas won 91–84
  3. Game 3Las Vegas at DallasFri Sep 29 · Las Vegas won 64–61
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2023 regular season: Las Vegas 3, Dallas 1 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

None since 2021.

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: Las Vegas 93⁠–⁠95% to win the series (20 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Las Vegas leading 1⁠–⁠0: Las Vegas 96⁠–⁠97% to win the series (19 betting sites)
  • Before game 3, Las Vegas leading 2⁠–⁠0: Las Vegas 98⁠–⁠99% to win the series (21 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

Semifinal 2 · Best of 5 · first to 3 wins

New York Liberty against Connecticut Sun

  • Seed 2New York LibertyNew York3 wins
  • Seed 3Connecticut SunConnecticut1 win

New York won 3⁠–⁠1

  1. Game 1Connecticut at New YorkSun Sep 24 · Connecticut won 78–63
  2. Game 2Connecticut at New YorkTue Sep 26 · New York won 84–77
  3. Game 3New York at ConnecticutFri Sep 29 · New York won 92–81
  4. Game 4New York at ConnecticutSun Oct 1 · New York won 87–84
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2023 regular season: New York 4, Connecticut 0 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

None since 2021.

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: New York 84⁠–⁠87% to win the series (20 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Connecticut leading 1⁠–⁠0: New York 69⁠–⁠75% to win the series (19 betting sites)
  • Before game 3, series tied 1⁠–⁠1: New York 70⁠–⁠74% to win the series (21 betting sites)
  • Before game 4, New York leading 2⁠–⁠1: New York 91⁠–⁠93% to win the series (20 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

Finals

Finals · Best of 5 · first to 3 wins

Las Vegas Aces against New York Liberty

  • Seed 1Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas3 wins
  • Seed 2New York LibertyNew York1 win

Las Vegas won 3⁠–⁠1

  1. Game 1New York at Las VegasSun Oct 8 · Las Vegas won 99–82
  2. Game 2New York at Las VegasWed Oct 11 · Las Vegas won 104–76
  3. Game 3Las Vegas at New YorkSun Oct 15 · New York won 87–73
  4. Game 4Las Vegas at New YorkWed Oct 18 · Las Vegas won 70–69
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2023 regular season: Las Vegas 2, New York 2 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

None since 2021.

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: Las Vegas 62⁠–⁠69% to win the series (19 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Las Vegas leading 1⁠–⁠0: Las Vegas 77⁠–⁠82% to win the series (20 betting sites)
  • Before game 3, Las Vegas leading 2⁠–⁠0: Las Vegas 91⁠–⁠93% to win the series (21 betting sites)
  • Before game 4, Las Vegas leading 2⁠–⁠1: Las Vegas 58⁠–⁠64% to win the series (18 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

How the series odds are worked out

  1. We take each sportsbook's latest price for the next game, from before it starts. Every price includes a small cut for the bookmaker; we remove it, so the two teams' chances add up to 100%.
  2. If Pinnacle, the bookmaker we use as the reference, is among them, we use its number; otherwise the middle value across all the sportsbooks. With fewer than two sportsbooks we show nothing.
  3. Playing at home helps. We take that out to get how the two teams compare on a neutral floor, then play out every game left in the series, each at the home it is scheduled at, and add up every way each team can reach the wins it needs.
  4. Nobody knows exactly how much home court is worth, so we use two sensible values: one from past playoff prices, one from the 2026 regular season's home record (178 home wins, 152 losses). The two results are shown as a range, for example “Minnesota 71–75%”.
  5. How good is it? We checked the method on 72 past series (WNBA 2022–2025 and the last three NBA playoffs). The favourites won 53 of them, against 53.6 expected, so the percentages mean what they say. But it was no better at naming the winner than simply backing the team with home court.
  6. So this number is the betting market's view, shown for information. It is not our pick, and our picks never use it.