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WNBA · Playoffsupdated

WNBA Playoffs 2024

Every series in one place: the score, each game, what the betting market expects, who is injured, how the two teams have done against each other, and how our picks did.

The small number beside a team is its seed, its finishing place in the regular season (1 is the best). The better seed has home court: it hosts game 1 and, if the series goes all the way, the last game.

This is the 2024 bracket. See the 2026 playoffs

First round

First round · Best of 3 · first to 2 wins

New York Liberty against Atlanta Dream

  • Seed 1New York LibertyNew York2 wins
  • Seed 8Atlanta DreamAtlanta0 wins

New York won 2⁠–⁠0

  1. Game 1Atlanta at New YorkSun Sep 22 · New York won 83–69
  2. Game 2Atlanta at New YorkTue Sep 24 · New York won 91–82
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2024 regular season: New York 3, Atlanta 1 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

None since 2021.

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: New York 94⁠–⁠95% to win the series (16 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, New York leading 1⁠–⁠0: New York 97⁠–⁠98% to win the series (16 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

First round · Best of 3 · first to 2 wins

Las Vegas Aces against Seattle Storm

  • Seed 4Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas2 wins
  • Seed 5Seattle StormSeattle0 wins

Las Vegas won 2⁠–⁠0

  1. Game 1Seattle at Las VegasSun Sep 22 · Las Vegas won 78–67
  2. Game 2Seattle at Las VegasTue Sep 24 · Las Vegas won 83–76
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2024 regular season: Las Vegas 3, Seattle 1 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

  • 2022 Semifinals: Las Vegas won 3⁠–⁠1

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: Las Vegas 85⁠–⁠87% to win the series (15 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Las Vegas leading 1⁠–⁠0: Las Vegas 92⁠–⁠93% to win the series (14 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

First round · Best of 3 · first to 2 wins

Minnesota Lynx against Phoenix Mercury

  • Seed 2Minnesota LynxMinnesota2 wins
  • Seed 7Phoenix MercuryPhoenix0 wins

Minnesota won 2⁠–⁠0

  1. Game 1Phoenix at MinnesotaSun Sep 22 · Minnesota won 102–95
  2. Game 2Phoenix at MinnesotaWed Sep 25 · Minnesota won 101–88
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2024 regular season: Minnesota 3, Phoenix 1 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

None since 2021.

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: Minnesota 88⁠–⁠90% to win the series (16 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Minnesota leading 1⁠–⁠0: Minnesota 94⁠–⁠95% to win the series (14 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

First round · Best of 3 · first to 2 wins

Connecticut Sun against Indiana Fever

  • Seed 3Connecticut SunConnecticut2 wins
  • Seed 6Indiana FeverIndiana0 wins

Connecticut won 2⁠–⁠0

  1. Game 1Indiana at ConnecticutSun Sep 22 · Connecticut won 93–69
  2. Game 2Indiana at ConnecticutWed Sep 25 · Connecticut won 87–81
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2024 regular season: Connecticut 3, Indiana 1 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

None since 2021.

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: Connecticut 71⁠–⁠75% to win the series (16 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Connecticut leading 1⁠–⁠0: Connecticut 87⁠–⁠90% to win the series (14 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

Semifinals

Semifinal 1 · Best of 5 · first to 3 wins

New York Liberty against Las Vegas Aces

  • Seed 1New York LibertyNew York3 wins
  • Seed 4Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas1 win

New York won 3⁠–⁠1

  1. Game 1Las Vegas at New YorkSun Sep 29 · New York won 87–77
  2. Game 2Las Vegas at New YorkTue Oct 1 · New York won 88–84
  3. Game 3New York at Las VegasFri Oct 4 · Las Vegas won 95–81
  4. Game 4New York at Las VegasSun Oct 6 · New York won 76–62
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2024 regular season: New York 3, Las Vegas 0 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

  • 2023 Finals: Las Vegas won 3⁠–⁠1

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: New York 60⁠–⁠66% to win the series (15 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, New York leading 1⁠–⁠0: New York 77⁠–⁠82% to win the series (15 betting sites)
  • Before game 3, New York leading 2⁠–⁠0: New York 83⁠–⁠86% to win the series (15 betting sites)
  • Before game 4, New York leading 2⁠–⁠1: New York 72⁠–⁠77% to win the series (15 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

Semifinal 2 · Best of 5 · first to 3 wins

Minnesota Lynx against Connecticut Sun

  • Seed 2Minnesota LynxMinnesota3 wins
  • Seed 3Connecticut SunConnecticut2 wins

Minnesota won 3⁠–⁠2

  1. Game 1Connecticut at MinnesotaSun Sep 29 · Connecticut won 73–70
  2. Game 2Connecticut at MinnesotaTue Oct 1 · Minnesota won 77–70
  3. Game 3Minnesota at ConnecticutFri Oct 4 · Minnesota won 90–81
  4. Game 4Minnesota at ConnecticutSun Oct 6 · Connecticut won 92–82
  5. Game 5Connecticut at MinnesotaTue Oct 8 · Minnesota won 88–77
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2024 regular season: Minnesota 1, Connecticut 2 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

  • 2023 First round: Connecticut won 2⁠–⁠1

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: Minnesota 61⁠–⁠67% to win the series (16 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Connecticut leading 1⁠–⁠0: Connecticut 51⁠–⁠59% to win the series (16 betting sites)
  • Before game 3, series tied 1⁠–⁠1: Connecticut 52⁠–⁠56% to win the series (16 betting sites)
  • Before game 4, Minnesota leading 2⁠–⁠1: Minnesota 74⁠–⁠79% to win the series (15 betting sites)
  • Before game 5, series tied 2⁠–⁠2: Minnesota 59% to win the series (16 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

Finals

Finals · Best of 5 · first to 3 wins

New York Liberty against Minnesota Lynx

  • Seed 1New York LibertyNew York3 wins
  • Seed 2Minnesota LynxMinnesota2 wins

New York won 3⁠–⁠2

  1. Game 1Minnesota at New YorkThu Oct 10 · Minnesota won 95–93
  2. Game 2Minnesota at New YorkSun Oct 13 · New York won 80–66
  3. Game 3New York at MinnesotaWed Oct 16 · New York won 80–77
  4. Game 4New York at MinnesotaFri Oct 18 · Minnesota won 82–80
  5. Game 5Minnesota at New YorkSun Oct 20 · New York won 67–62
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2024 regular season: New York 1, Minnesota 2 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

None since 2021.

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: New York 74⁠–⁠79% to win the series (16 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Minnesota leading 1⁠–⁠0: New York 62⁠–⁠69% to win the series (16 betting sites)
  • Before game 3, series tied 1⁠–⁠1: New York 69⁠–⁠72% to win the series (16 betting sites)
  • Before game 4, New York leading 2⁠–⁠1: New York 86⁠–⁠89% to win the series (16 betting sites)
  • Before game 5, series tied 2⁠–⁠2: New York 70% to win the series (16 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

How the series odds are worked out

  1. We take each sportsbook's latest price for the next game, from before it starts. Every price includes a small cut for the bookmaker; we remove it, so the two teams' chances add up to 100%.
  2. If Pinnacle, the bookmaker we use as the reference, is among them, we use its number; otherwise the middle value across all the sportsbooks. With fewer than two sportsbooks we show nothing.
  3. Playing at home helps. We take that out to get how the two teams compare on a neutral floor, then play out every game left in the series, each at the home it is scheduled at, and add up every way each team can reach the wins it needs.
  4. Nobody knows exactly how much home court is worth, so we use two sensible values: one from past playoff prices, one from the 2026 regular season's home record (178 home wins, 152 losses). The two results are shown as a range, for example “Minnesota 71–75%”.
  5. How good is it? We checked the method on 72 past series (WNBA 2022–2025 and the last three NBA playoffs). The favourites won 53 of them, against 53.6 expected, so the percentages mean what they say. But it was no better at naming the winner than simply backing the team with home court.
  6. So this number is the betting market's view, shown for information. It is not our pick, and our picks never use it.