Stephanie Talbot over 4.5 points
She has cleared 4.5 in 57 of 163 games — 35.0%. That rate needs +185 to break even and books have been paying -213.
01
Distribution
163 games · hover a bucket0–2 points · 45 games · 27.6% · under45
2–4 points · 46 games · 28.2% · under46
4–6 points · 29 games · 17.8% · under29
6–8 points · 14 games · 8.6% · over14
8–10 points · 12 games · 7.4% · over12
10–12 points · 6 games · 3.7% · over6
12–14 points · 6 games · 3.7% · over6
14–16 points · 4 games · 2.5% · over4
16–18 points · 1 game · 0.6% · over1
4.5
UNDER · 106OVER · 57 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 4.5 · hover a bar2026-06-25 · DAL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · CHI · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-06-30 · NYL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-07-03 · CHI · 4 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-05 · IND · 7 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-09 · POR · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-07-11 · PHO · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · IND · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · TOR · 4 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · WAS · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · POR · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · NYL · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-01 · CHI · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · ATL · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · IND · 4 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-08 · MIN · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · NYL · 4 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-11 · WAS · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-13 · WAS · 5 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-15 · MIN · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · ATL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-20 · CON · 5 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · TOR · 9 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · TOR · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · SEA · 8 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · SEA · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · LAS · 14 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · PHO · 14 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-09-27 · IND · 8 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-09-29 · IND · 9 points · +4.5 vs line
4.5
2026-06-25— 5-game mean2026-09-29 · newest
03
Recent form
70.0%7/10 · last 10
2026-08-18 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-20 · 5 points · OVER
5
2026-08-23 · 9 points · OVER
9
2026-08-28 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-09-17 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-09-20 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-09-22 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-09-24 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-09-27 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-09-29 · 9 points · OVER
9
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 9 postings4.5-213
best offered4.5-130
worst offered4.5-233
our break-even4.5+185
Median -213 across 9 postings over 3 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 163 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 4.5
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2INDAWAY27.1MIN9POINTS5 · 1 · 4-6OVER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 65.4
- USG%
- 15.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 15
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1INDHOME28.4MIN8POINTS2 · 3 · 2-8OVER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 41.0
- USG%
- 15.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 13
2026-09-24PHOAWAY30.7MIN14POINTS4 · 0 · 6-6OVER
- FG
- 6-6
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 108.7
- USG%
- 9.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 18
2026-09-22LASHOME24.8MIN14POINTS3 · 0 · 6-8OVER
- FG
- 6-8
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 87.5
- USG%
- 15.0
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 17
2026-09-20SEAHOME16.3MIN2POINTS3 · 1 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 11.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 6
2026-09-17SEAAWAY15.8MIN8POINTS3 · 5 · 3-4OVER
- FG
- 3-4
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 13.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 16
2026-08-28TORHOME25.2MIN3POINTS4 · 0 · 1-5UNDER
- FG
- 1-5
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 30.0
- USG%
- 12.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +19
- PRA
- 7
2026-08-23TORAWAY16.3MIN9POINTS1 · 0 · 4-5OVER
- FG
- 4-5
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 90.0
- USG%
- 17.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 10
2026-08-20CONHOME25.4MIN5POINTS6 · 4 · 2-2OVER
- FG
- 2-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 102.5
- USG%
- 4.0
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 15
2026-08-18ATLHOME12.0MIN0POINTS1 · 0 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 11.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 1
2026-08-15MINHOME10.0MIN2POINTS1 · 0 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 33.3
- USG%
- 13.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 3
2026-08-13WASHOME16.0MIN5POINTS2 · 0 · 2-2OVER
- FG
- 2-2
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 125.0
- USG%
- 6.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 7
2026-08-11WASHOME7.4MIN0POINTS0 · 0 · 0-0UNDER
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 0.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 0
2026-08-09NYLAWAY20.7MIN4POINTS2 · 0 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 51.5
- USG%
- 13.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -30
- PRA
- 6
2026-08-08MINAWAY10.4MIN2POINTS1 · 0 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 8.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 3
2026-08-06INDAWAY10.2MIN4POINTS2 · 0 · 2-4UNDER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 16.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 6
2026-08-03ATLAWAY7.5MIN2POINTS0 · 1 · 1-1UNDER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 18.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 3
2026-08-01CHIAWAY7.3MIN2POINTS2 · 0 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 11.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 4
2026-07-30NYLHOME11.0MIN6POINTS1 · 2 · 2-3OVER
- FG
- 2-3
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 12.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 9
2026-07-28PORHOME15.4MIN2POINTS0 · 1 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 33.3
- USG%
- 9.7
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 3
2026-07-22WASAWAY8.8MIN2POINTS0 · 0 · 1-1UNDER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 5.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 2
2026-07-20TORAWAY14.7MIN4POINTS1 · 0 · 2-8UNDER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 0-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 25.0
- USG%
- 24.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 5
2026-07-12INDHOME12.9MIN0POINTS2 · 1 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 7.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 3
2026-07-11PHOHOME23.9MIN2POINTS7 · 2 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 4/3
- TS%
- 25.0
- USG%
- 9.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 11
2026-07-09PORAWAY16.8MIN0POINTS2 · 1 · 0-3UNDER
- FG
- 0-3
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 11.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 3
showing 25 of 163 — every rate above is computed over all 163