NBA · Dec 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalGSW 136 – OKC 138Page updated 11:50 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 13 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 2 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 1 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 0 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Kenrich Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 236 points · odds to win: GSW 2.31, OKC 1.69

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:50 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 260 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Draymond Green · assists 6.5 → 13 · 6.5 above the line · played 35.1 min · no final price

Cason Wallace · blocks 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.9 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · steals 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.6 min · no final price

Moses Moody · points 9.5 → 2 · 7.5 below the line · played 15.8 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 39.8 min · no final price

Kenrich Williams · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 9 min · no final price

Brandin Podziemski · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 23 min · no final price

Stephen Curry · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 40.4 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · assists 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 42.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs GSW · last 24 games · OKC leads · OKC record 12–12 · average score 115.0–117.0 · OKC has lost by 2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

7 Mar · GSW 97 at OKC 104OKC won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 3.5, expected total 236 (Sat 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 191 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 305 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 440 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 637 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 644 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 650 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 655 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 657 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 673 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 731 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 730 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 731 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 732 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 737 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 555 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 302 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 312 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 322 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 345 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 366 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 387 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 413 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 423 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 434 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 448 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 457 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 476 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 485 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 618 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1309 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1328 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 678 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 680 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 682 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 686 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 691 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 703 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 706 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 705 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 714 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.