NBA · Feb 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalHOU 90 – MIN 111Page updated 15:49 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 15 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 7 actual

Fred VanVleet · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 1 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 0 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 6 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

blocks 2.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 7.5 · both teams together expected to score about 222 points · odds to win: HOU 3.58, MIN 1.33

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:49 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 307 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Jabari Smith Jr. · blocks 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 19 min · no final price

Fred VanVleet · assists 6.5 → 1 · 5.5 below the line · played 32.2 min · no final price

Rudy Gobert · blocks 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.4 min · no final price

Amen Thompson · rebounds 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 19.7 min · no final price

Jaden McDaniels · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.3 min · no final price

Alperen Sengun · points 20.5 → 15 · 5.5 below the line · played 30.5 min · no final price

Anthony Edwards · rebounds 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs HOU · last 23 games · MIN leads · MIN record 15–8 · average score 116.5–113.9 · MIN has won by 2.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · MIN 136 at HOU 132MIN won

25 Mar · HOU 108 at MIN 110MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 7.5, expected total 222 (Mon 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 140 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 221 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 485 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 509 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 510 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 521 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 531 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 532 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 537 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 539 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 543 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 541 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 543 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 546 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 31 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 477 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 747 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 385 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 399 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 406 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 422 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 453 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 464 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 468 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 474 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 5158 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 5160 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 5784 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 5230 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 5233 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 5391 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 5394 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 5396 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.