NBA · Feb 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors

FinalDEN 119 – GSW 103Page updated 07:22 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 6 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 9.5 → 16 actual

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 4 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSW expected to win by about 2 · both teams together expected to score about 233 points · odds to win: DEN 2.13, GSW 1.81

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 07:22 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 301 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Christian Braun · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.8 min · no final price

Brandin Podziemski · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.1 min · no final price

Gary Payton II · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 13.7 min · no final price

Stephen Curry · rebounds 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 32.2 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · assists 9.5 → 16 · 6.5 above the line · played 36.8 min · no final price

Draymond Green · assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.2 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.2 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · rebounds 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs DEN · last 27 games · DEN leads · GSW record 10–17 · average score 114.7–115.6 · GSW has lost by 0.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Mar · GSW 93 at DEN 116GSW lost

22 Feb · DEN 117 at GSW 128GSW won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSW expected to win by 2, expected total 233 (Mon 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 127 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 186 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 283 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 291 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 296 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 299 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 316 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 319 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 320 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 322 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 323 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 340 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 342 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 343 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 264 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 604 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 740 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 522 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 524 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 528 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 533 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 592 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 595 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 776 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 777 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.