NBA · Feb 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets

FinalOKC 123 – HOU 110Page updated 07:26 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 2 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 5 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Kenrich Williams · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 6 actual

Fred VanVleet · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 3 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 232.5 points · odds to win: OKC 1.43, HOU 3.04

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 07:26 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 273 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 0.5 → 2 · 1.5 above the line · played 18.5 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 5 · 3.5 above the line · played 33.2 min · no final price

Kenrich Williams · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 4.7 min · no final price

Jabari Smith Jr. · blocks 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 41.5 min · no final price

Alperen Sengun · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 29.5 min · no final price

Fred VanVleet · assists 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 38.1 min · no final price

Amen Thompson · points 11.5 → 6 · 5.5 below the line · played 21.1 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.6 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.2 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

HOU vs OKC · last 31 games · HOU leads · HOU record 15–15 · average score 108.9–109.9 · HOU has lost by 1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

7 Feb · HOU 112 at OKC 106HOU won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 6.5, expected total 232.5 (Mon 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 55 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 97 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 183 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 290 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 312 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 320 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 323 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 326 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 328 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 330 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 361 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 363 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 372 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 323 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 378 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 107 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 335 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 336 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 365 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 367 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 376 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 760 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 774 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 594 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 602 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 602 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 629 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 667 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 667 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 707 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 711 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 841 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.