NBA · Feb 27 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalHOU 95 – OKC 112Page updated 06:07 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 2 actual

Fred VanVleet · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 1 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 1 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 10 · both teams together expected to score about 233.5 points · odds to win: HOU 4.58, OKC 1.23

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 03:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 06:07 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 278 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.9 min · no final price

Jabari Smith Jr. · blocks 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.3 min · no final price

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 14.3 min · no final price

Amen Thompson · points 8.5 → 2 · 6.5 below the line · played 17.4 min · no final price

Fred VanVleet · rebounds 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 36.2 min · no final price

Alperen Sengun · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 35.8 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.9 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs HOU · last 31 games · OKC leads · OKC record 15–15 · average score 109.9–108.9 · OKC has won by 1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 10, expected total 233.5 (Wed 03:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 03:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 78 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 97 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 198 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 312 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 318 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 325 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 330 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 332 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 346 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 353 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 352 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 380 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 395 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 399 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 325 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 334 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 367 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 379 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 391 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 754 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 766 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 612 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 613 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 686 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 688 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 688 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 688 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 713 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 731 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.