NBA · Mar 3 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at San Antonio Spurs

FinalIND 105 – SAS 117Page updated 02:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 1 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 2 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 8 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 26 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · minutes unknown

assists 10.5 → 8 actual

San Antonio Spurs

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 9 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 17 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 243 points · odds to win: IND 1.40, SAS 3.17

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 02:23 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 262 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

T.J. McConnell · points 8.5 → 26 · 17.5 above the line · played 26.8 min · no final price

Devin Vassell · rebounds 3.5 → 9 · 5.5 above the line · played 36.9 min · no final price

Victor Wembanyama · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.4 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · points 7.5 → 2 · 5.5 below the line · played 16.1 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · rebounds 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 27.6 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 21.2 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · assists 10.5 → 8 · 2.5 below the line · played 36.1 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · rebounds 6.5 → 8 · 1.5 above the line · played 37.6 min · no final price

Keldon Johnson · points 14.5 → 17 · 2.5 above the line · played 27.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAS vs IND · last 11 games · SAS leads · SAS record 6–5 · average score 119.2–120.1 · SAS has lost by 0.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

21 Mar · IND 119 at SAS 134SAS won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 6.5, expected total 243 (Mon 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 24 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 42 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 97 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 167 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 173 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 177 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 188 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 208 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 209 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 186 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 211 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 211 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 50 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 441 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 444 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 446 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 457 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 681 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 459 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 482 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 488 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 741 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 522 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 544 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 558 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 890 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 891 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 920 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 922 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 922 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 921 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 923 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 923 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1062 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.