NBA · Mar 5 gameAll props Full sheet

Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat

FinalDET 110 – MIA 118Page updated 00:18 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Detroit Pistons

Ausar Thompson · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 2 actual

Cade Cunningham · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Duncan Robinson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Jalen Duren · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 14 actual

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

points 21.5 → 18 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 8 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 22 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIA expected to win by about 11 · both teams together expected to score about 217 points · odds to win: DET 5.59, MIA 1.17

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 00:18 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 247 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Ausar Thompson · blocks 0.5 → 2 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.4 min · no final price

Simone Fontecchio · points 10.5 → 22 · 11.5 above the line · played 29.2 min · no final price

Nikola Jović · points 6.5 → 8 · 1.5 above the line · played 21.4 min · no final price

Bam Adebayo · points 21.5 → 18 · 3.5 below the line · played 35.2 min · no final price

Cade Cunningham · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.9 min · no final price

Duncan Robinson · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.3 min · no final price

Jalen Duren · points 12.5 → 14 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs DET · last 22 games · MIA leads · MIA record 15–7 · average score 111.7–108.9 · MIA has won by 2.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

8 Mar · DET 110 at MIA 121MIA won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIA expected to win by 11, expected total 217 (Wed 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 94 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 112 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 291 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 437 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 441 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 446 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 451 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 455 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 501 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 511 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 515 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 516 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 541 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 543 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 453 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 324 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 352 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 357 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 362 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 366 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 386 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 889 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 906 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 600 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 603 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 611 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 640 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 654 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 905 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 913 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.