NBA · Mar 7 gameAll props Full sheet

Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets

FinalBOS 109 – DEN 115Page updated 22:24 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 9 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 6 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

points 26.5 → 32 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 221 points · odds to win: BOS 1.81, DEN 2.11

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 03:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 22:24 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 242 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Christian Braun · rebounds 2.5 → 6 · 3.5 above the line · played 16.7 min · no final price

Payton Pritchard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 10.6 min · no final price

Derrick White · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 37 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · rebounds 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 34 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 10.3 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 37 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · points 26.5 → 32 · 5.5 above the line · played 38.7 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs BOS · last 13 games · BOS leads · DEN record 6–7 · average score 105.1–108.8 · DEN has lost by 3.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Feb · BOS 84 at DEN 103DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 1.5, expected total 221 (Fri 03:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 03:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 16 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 23 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 45 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 94 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 108 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 110 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 111 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 111 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 113 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 149 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 135 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 156 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 159 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 52 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 110 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 365 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 293 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 488 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 488 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 489 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 554 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 562 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 564 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 575 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 587 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 594 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.