NBA · Mar 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at San Antonio Spurs

FinalDEN 117 – SAS 106Page updated 15:54 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 8.5 → 5 actual

San Antonio Spurs

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 17 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 10 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 10.5 · both teams together expected to score about 224 points · odds to win: DEN 1.21, SAS 4.91

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 00:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:54 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 225 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Jamal Murray · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 34 min · no final price

Julian Champagnie · points 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 26 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 25.1 min · no final price

Victor Wembanyama · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.2 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · assists 8.5 → 5 · 3.5 below the line · played 30.9 min · no final price

Keldon Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.3 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.3 min · no final price

Devin Vassell · points 18.5 → 17 · 1.5 below the line · played 39 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAS vs DEN · last 22 games · DEN leads · SAS record 8–14 · average score 116.2–119.0 · SAS has lost by 2.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Apr · DEN 128 at SAS 118SAS lost

4 Apr · SAS 134 at DEN 136SAS lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 10.5, expected total 224 (Sat 00:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 00:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 142 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 223 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 297 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 425 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 473 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 526 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 514 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 534 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 523 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 534 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 540 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 540 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 656 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 668 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 531 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 373 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 394 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 403 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 489 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 496 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 499 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 531 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 590 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 602 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 625 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 623 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 633 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 698 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 905 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1490 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 938 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1746 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1353 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1418 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1512 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1520 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1540 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1684 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1686 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1686 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.