NBA · Mar 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons

FinalMIA 108 – DET 95Page updated 15:54 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Detroit Pistons

Cade Cunningham · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Duncan Robinson · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 5 actual

Jalen Duren · minutes unknown

rebounds 11.5 → 17 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIA expected to win by about 7.5 · both teams together expected to score about 217 points · odds to win: MIA 1.30, DET 3.81

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 22:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:54 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 204 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Duncan Robinson · assists 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 32.9 min · no final price

Jalen Duren · rebounds 11.5 → 17 · 5.5 above the line · played 33.9 min · no final price

Bam Adebayo · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.9 min · no final price

Nikola Jović · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 15.3 min · no final price

Simone Fontecchio · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.3 min · no final price

Cade Cunningham · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DET vs MIA · last 22 games · MIA leads · DET record 7–15 · average score 108.9–111.7 · DET has lost by 2.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

8 Mar · DET 110 at MIA 121DET lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIA expected to win by 7.5, expected total 217 (Fri 22:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 22:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 186 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 232 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 424 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 434 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 435 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 444 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 450 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 469 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 469 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 471 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 474 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 477 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 480 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 495 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 313 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 226 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1571 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1678 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1231 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1276 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1317 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1318 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1326 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1454 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.