NBA · Apr 2 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors

FinalDAL 100 – GSW 104Page updated 22:50 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 10 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 4 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

points + assists 10.5 → 10 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 11 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 12 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

3-pointers 5.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSW expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 231.5 points · odds to win: DAL 2.00, GSW 1.91

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 02:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 22:50 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 241 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Gary Payton II · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 15.6 min · no final price

Draymond Green · points 7.5 → 11 · 3.5 above the line · played 30.8 min · no final price

Stephen Curry · 3-pointers 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 31.6 min · no final price

Moses Moody · points 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 20.2 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · 3-pointers 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.8 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · points 11.5 → 10 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.1 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.7 min · no final price

Brandin Podziemski · points + assists 10.5 → 10 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs DAL · last 29 games · DAL leads · GSW record 13–16 · average score 115.5–116.9 · GSW has lost by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

23 Mar · GSW 137 at DAL 131GSW won

22 Jan · GSW 115 at DAL 123GSW lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSW expected to win by 1, expected total 231.5 (Wed 02:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 02:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 57 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 81 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 234 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 56 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 23 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 27 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 39 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 50 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 54 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 349 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 68 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 367 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 369 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 371 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 372 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 372 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 377 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 379 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 381 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 382 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 383 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pa)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 208 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1475 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2389 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2118 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2239 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2265 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2269 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 4053 ms

odds player timeline (pa)ok 200 · 4053 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 4054 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 4078 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.