NBA · Apr 5 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks

FinalGSW 106 – DAL 108Page updated 21:58 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 14 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 3 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 9 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 15 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 7 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 224.5 points · odds to win: GSW 1.97, DAL 1.93

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:58 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 339 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Brandin Podziemski · points 6.5 → 14 · 7.5 above the line · played 25 min · no final price

Gary Payton II · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.4 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 8.5 → 15 · 6.5 above the line · played 31.2 min · no final price

Draymond Green · assists 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 34.5 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · rebounds 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 40.3 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · assists 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 42.3 min · no final price

Stephen Curry · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.4 min · no final price

Moses Moody · points 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs GSW · last 29 games · DAL leads · DAL record 16–13 · average score 116.9–115.5 · DAL has won by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

23 Mar · GSW 137 at DAL 131DAL lost

22 Jan · GSW 115 at DAL 123DAL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 1, expected total 224.5 (Sat 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 50 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 72 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 133 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 190 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 224 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 227 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 252 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 271 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 273 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 274 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 275 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 53 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 348 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 358 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 360 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 711 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 782 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 676 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 695 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 696 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 750 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 751 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 772 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 822 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1236 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.