NBA · Apr 29 gameAll props Full sheet

Boston Celtics at Miami Heat

FinalBOS 102 – MIA 88Page updated 14:59 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 20 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 10.5 · both teams together expected to score about 204.5 points · odds to win: BOS 1.21, MIA 4.90

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 23:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:59 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 260 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 1 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Payton Pritchard · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 18.3 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 16 min · no final price

Nikola Jović · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 16.2 min · no final price

Bam Adebayo · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 41.6 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · points 25.5 → 20 · 5.5 below the line · played 37.1 min · no final price

Derrick White · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 40.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs BOS · last 47 games · BOS leads · MIA record 19–28 · average score 105.6–110.6 · MIA has lost by 5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Apr · BOS 147 at MIA 129MIA lost

6 Feb · MIA 96 at BOS 98MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 10.5, expected total 204.5 (Mon 23:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 23:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 51

sds games/date (2024-04-18)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-16)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 46 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 178 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-27)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 181 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-28)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 186 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-20)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-25)ok 200 · 191 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-22)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-26)ok 200 · 194 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-21)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-24)ok 200 · 197 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-17)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-23)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 203 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-15)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 205 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 205 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 210 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 213 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 223 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 306 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 168 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 444 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1355 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 117 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 250 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2315 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1772 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1775 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1777 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1780 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1894 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1968 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.