NBA · May 13 gameAll props Full sheet

Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers

FinalBOS 109 – CLE 102Page updated 07:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 8 availability alerts

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Out Jr. · two-way · CLE

Out Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Out Diop · on assignment · CLE

Out Tomlin · low back stress reaction (back) · CLE

Out Merrill · right elbow injury management (elbow) · CLE

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Out Jr. · two-way · CLE

Out Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Out Diop · on assignment · CLE

Out Tomlin · low back stress reaction (back) · CLE

Out Merrill · right elbow injury management (elbow) · CLE

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 7 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

rebounds 10.5 → 11 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 2 actual

Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → no final stat available

Evan Mobley · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

Sam Merrill · Out · right elbow injury management (elbow) · listed out, then played

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 11.5 · both teams together expected to score about 204.5 points · odds to win: BOS 1.16, CLE 5.94

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 22:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 07:57 UTC

Who is out

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Out Jr. · two-way · CLE

Out Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Out Diop · on assignment · CLE

Out Tomlin · low back stress reaction (back) · CLE

Out Merrill · right elbow injury management (elbow) · CLE

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 326 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 1 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Payton Pritchard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 25.8 min · no final price

Derrick White · rebounds 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.4 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · points 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 14.9 min · no final price

Sam Merrill · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 17.2 min · no final price

Evan Mobley · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 39.3 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · rebounds 10.5 → 11 · 0.5 above the line · played 43.9 min · no final price

Donovan Mitchell · assists 4.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CLE vs BOS · last 29 games · BOS leads · CLE record 10–19 · average score 107.4–112.8 · CLE has lost by 5.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

8 Oct · BOS 124 at CLE 113CLE lost

What each defense gives up per game

BOS gives up104.3 points · 43.5 rebounds · 25.2 assists · 33.8% from three-point range

CLE gives up114.1 points · 46.1 rebounds · 25.9 assists · 33.8% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

BOS gives up 104.3 points a game · 4th of 30 · league average 113.4−9.1 vs average

CLE gives up 114.1 points a game · 17th of 30 · league average 113.4about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 11.5, expected total 204.5 (Mon 22:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 22:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 54

sds games/date (2024-05-08)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-04)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-05)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 22 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-07)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-12)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-09)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-11)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-10)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-06)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 27 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 28 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 29 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 98 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-02)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-29)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-03)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-30)ok 200 · 142 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-01)ok 200 · 143 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 115 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 144 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 146 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 113 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 234 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 222 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 223 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 233 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 234 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 255 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 339 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 343 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 344 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 346 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 386 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 395 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 400 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1134 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.