NBA · Apr 20 gameAll props Full sheet

Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics

FinalORL 86 – BOS 103Page updated 22:41 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 10 availability alerts

Out Nelson · left ankle injury recovery (ankle) · ORL

Out Suggs · right knee contusion/bone bruise (knee) · ORL

May not play Cain · left shoulder contusion (shoulder) · ORL

Out Isaac · left knee injury management (knee) · ORL

Out Penda · right partially torn hamstring (hamstring) · ORL

Out Banchero · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · ORL

May not play Silva · left calf strain (calf) · ORL

Out Williams · two-way · BOS

Out Carter · two-way · BOS

Out George · illness · BOS

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Nelson · left ankle injury recovery (ankle) · ORL

Out Suggs · right knee contusion/bone bruise (knee) · ORL

May not play Cain · left shoulder contusion (shoulder) · ORL

Out Isaac · left knee injury management (knee) · ORL

Out Penda · right partially torn hamstring (hamstring) · ORL

Out Banchero · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · ORL

May not play Silva · left calf strain (calf) · ORL

Out Williams · two-way · BOS

Out Carter · two-way · BOS

Out George · illness · BOS

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Orlando Magic

Anthony Black · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 3 actual

Franz Wagner · minutes unknown

points 21.5 → 23 actual

Wendell Carter Jr. · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 4 actual

Jonathan Isaac · Out · left knee injury management (knee) · listed out, then played

rebounds 4.5 → 2 actual

Paolo Banchero · Out · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · listed out, then played

points 24.5 → 36 actual

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 30 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 39.5 → 35 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 19 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 22:41 UTC

Who is out

Out Nelson · left ankle injury recovery (ankle) · ORL

Out Suggs · right knee contusion/bone bruise (knee) · ORL

May not play Cain · left shoulder contusion (shoulder) · ORL

Out Isaac · left knee injury management (knee) · ORL

Out Penda · right partially torn hamstring (hamstring) · ORL

Out Banchero · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · ORL

May not play Silva · left calf strain (calf) · ORL

Out Williams · two-way · BOS

Out Carter · two-way · BOS

Out George · illness · BOS

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

ORL had 7 days off before this game · BOS had 7 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 224 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Derrick White · points 13.5 → 30 · 16.5 above the line · played 36.1 min · no final price

Payton Pritchard · points 9.5 → 19 · 9.5 above the line · played 24.7 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 9.3 min · no final price

Anthony Black · points 7.5 → 3 · 4.5 below the line · played 13.8 min · no final price

Wendell Carter Jr. · points 9.5 → 4 · 5.5 below the line · played 28.3 min · no final price

Jonathan Isaac · rebounds 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 18.4 min · no final price

Paolo Banchero · points 24.5 → 36 · 11.5 above the line · played 42.2 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · points + rebounds + assists 39.5 → 35 · 4.5 below the line · played 40.2 min · no final price

Franz Wagner · points 21.5 → 23 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BOS vs ORL · last 27 games · BOS leads · BOS record 19–8 · average score 110.7–102.9 · BOS has won by 7.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Nov · BOS 108 at ORL 97BOS won

12 Apr · ORL 108 at BOS 113BOS won

What each defense gives up per game

ORL gives up114.6 points · 41.7 rebounds · 28.7 assists · 38.7% from three-point range

BOS gives up104.0 points · 43.4 rebounds · 25.0 assists · 33.5% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

ORL gives up 114.6 points a game · 18th of 30 · league average 113.3about league average

BOS gives up 104.0 points a game · 2nd of 30 · league average 113.3−9.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 12.5, expected total 205.5 (Sun 19:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 19:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 60

sds games/date (2025-04-18)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-17)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-16)ok 200 · 213 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-15)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-14)ok 200 · 217 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-12)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 262 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-19)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-13)ok 200 · 272 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-11)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-10)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-09)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-08)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-07)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-06)ok 200 · 274 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 275 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 284 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 319 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 322 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 376 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 381 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 388 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 391 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 397 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 159 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 503 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 979 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 2401 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 91 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 92 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 243 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 245 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 255 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 259 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 259 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 260 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 262 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 297 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 602 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.