NBA · Apr 21 gameAll props Full sheet

Detroit Pistons at New York Knicks

FinalDET 100 – NYK 94Page updated 22:25 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 5 availability alerts

Out Harkless · two-way · DET

Out Joe · right hip contusion (hip) · DET

Out Duren · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · DET

Out Onyenso · two-way · DET

May not play Towns · left sore calf (calf) · NYK

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Harkless · two-way · DET

Out Joe · right hip contusion (hip) · DET

Out Duren · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · DET

Out Onyenso · two-way · DET

May not play Towns · left sore calf (calf) · NYK

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Detroit Pistons

Ausar Thompson · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 5 actual

Cade Cunningham · minutes unknown

points 26.5 → 33 actual

Paul Reed · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 6 actual

Jalen Duren · Out · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · listed out, then played

points 12.5 → 12 actual

New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson · minutes unknown

points 27.5 → 37 actual

Josh Hart · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Karl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → 10 actual

Mikal Bridges · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 19 actual

Miles McBride · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 8 actual

OG Anunoby · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 10 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYK expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 221.5 points · odds to win: DET 3.21, NYK 1.40

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 23:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 22:25 UTC

Who is out

Out Harkless · two-way · DET

Out Joe · right hip contusion (hip) · DET

Out Duren · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · DET

Out Onyenso · two-way · DET

Hart · likely to play · illness · NYK

May not play Towns · left sore calf (calf) · NYK

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 233 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Karl-Anthony Towns · points 23.5 → 10 · 13.5 below the line · played 33.4 min · no final price

Ausar Thompson · points 10.5 → 5 · 5.5 below the line · played 20.7 min · no final price

Miles McBride · points 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 13.3 min · no final price

OG Anunoby · points 17.5 → 10 · 7.5 below the line · played 42.4 min · no final price

Jalen Brunson · points 27.5 → 37 · 9.5 above the line · played 43.6 min · no final price

Paul Reed · points 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 11.1 min · no final price

Cade Cunningham · points 26.5 → 33 · 6.5 above the line · played 42.4 min · no final price

Mikal Bridges · points 15.5 → 19 · 3.5 above the line · played 38.1 min · no final price

Josh Hart · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 40.1 min · no final price

Jalen Duren · points 12.5 → 12 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NYK vs DET · last 28 games · NYK leads · NYK record 19–9 · average score 111.4–106.7 · NYK has won by 4.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Oct · DET 97 at NYK 111NYK won

What each defense gives up per game

DET gives up104.6 points · 45.1 rebounds · 21.6 assists · 32.2% from three-point range

NYK gives up102.3 points · 39.8 rebounds · 25.1 assists · 33.7% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

DET gives up 104.6 points a game · 3rd of 30 · league average 113.3−8.7 vs average

NYK gives up 102.3 points a game · 1st of 30 · league average 113.3−11.0 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 63

sds games/date (2025-04-18)ok 200 · 230 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-17)ok 200 · 231 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-16)ok 200 · 231 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-15)ok 200 · 232 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-14)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-12)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 247 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 266 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-20)ok 200 · 268 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-19)ok 200 · 268 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-13)ok 200 · 268 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-11)ok 200 · 269 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-09)ok 200 · 269 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-10)ok 200 · 269 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-08)ok 200 · 269 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 270 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 269 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 272 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 288 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 349 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 364 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 365 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 404 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 405 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 414 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-07)ok 200 · 449 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 102 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 564 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 957 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 54 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 56 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 56 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 58 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 93 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 110 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 155 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 175 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 212 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 251 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 252 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 253 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 254 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 275 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 277 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 314 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.