NBA · Apr 23 gameAll props Full sheet

Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics

FinalORL 100 – BOS 109Page updated 22:17 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 10 availability alerts

Out Nelson · left ankle injury recovery (ankle) · ORL

Out Suggs · right knee contusion/bone bruise (knee) · ORL

May not play Cain · left shoulder contusion (shoulder) · ORL

Out Isaac · left knee injury management (knee) · ORL

Out Penda · right partially torn hamstring (hamstring) · ORL

Out Banchero · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · ORL

May not play Silva · left calf strain (calf) · ORL

Out Williams · two-way · BOS

Out Carter · two-way · BOS

Out George · illness · BOS

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Nelson · left ankle injury recovery (ankle) · ORL

Out Suggs · right knee contusion/bone bruise (knee) · ORL

May not play Cain · left shoulder contusion (shoulder) · ORL

Out Isaac · left knee injury management (knee) · ORL

Out Penda · right partially torn hamstring (hamstring) · ORL

Out Banchero · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · ORL

May not play Silva · left calf strain (calf) · ORL

Out Williams · two-way · BOS

Out Carter · two-way · BOS

Out George · illness · BOS

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Orlando Magic

Anthony Black · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 11 actual

Franz Wagner · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 32.5 → 33 actual

Wendell Carter Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 8 actual

Jonathan Isaac · Out · left knee injury management (knee) · listed out, then played

points + rebounds + assists 10.5 → 1 actual

Paolo Banchero · Out · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · listed out, then played

points 25.5 → 32 actual

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 17 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → no final stat available

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 14 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 10 · both teams together expected to score about 196 points · odds to win: ORL 4.93, BOS 1.21

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 23:00 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 22:17 UTC

Who is out

Out Nelson · left ankle injury recovery (ankle) · ORL

Out Suggs · right knee contusion/bone bruise (knee) · ORL

May not play Cain · left shoulder contusion (shoulder) · ORL

Out Isaac · left knee injury management (knee) · ORL

Out Penda · right partially torn hamstring (hamstring) · ORL

Out Banchero · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · ORL

May not play Silva · left calf strain (calf) · ORL

Out Williams · two-way · BOS

Out Carter · two-way · BOS

Out George · illness · BOS

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 275 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Anthony Black · points 5.5 → 11 · 5.5 above the line · played 22.6 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · points 6.5 → 0 · 6.5 below the line · played 13.4 min · no final price

Jonathan Isaac · points + rebounds + assists 10.5 → 1 · 9.5 below the line · played 6.6 min · no final price

Paolo Banchero · points 25.5 → 32 · 6.5 above the line · played 43.4 min · no final price

Payton Pritchard · points 11.5 → 14 · 2.5 above the line · played 32.6 min · no final price

Wendell Carter Jr. · rebounds 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.9 min · no final price

Derrick White · points 16.5 → 17 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.1 min · no final price

Franz Wagner · points + rebounds + assists 32.5 → 33 · 0.5 above the line · played 40.2 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · points 24.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BOS vs ORL · last 27 games · BOS leads · BOS record 19–8 · average score 110.7–102.9 · BOS has won by 7.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Nov · BOS 108 at ORL 97BOS won

12 Apr · ORL 108 at BOS 113BOS won

What each defense gives up per game

ORL gives up114.6 points · 41.7 rebounds · 28.7 assists · 38.7% from three-point range

BOS gives up104.0 points · 43.4 rebounds · 25.0 assists · 33.5% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

ORL gives up 114.6 points a game · 18th of 30 · league average 113.3about league average

BOS gives up 104.0 points a game · 2nd of 30 · league average 113.3−9.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 60

sds games/date (2025-04-15)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-12)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-14)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-18)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 41 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-16)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-17)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-20)ok 200 · 63 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-19)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-22)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-13)ok 200 · 63 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-21)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-11)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-10)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 65 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-09)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 65 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 81 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 95 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 175 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 177 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 181 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 183 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 183 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 187 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 170 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 327 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 228 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 229 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 468 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 58 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 59 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 58 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 60 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 59 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 126 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 126 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 128 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 130 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 135 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 136 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 138 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 138 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 352 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 377 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 434 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.