NBA · Apr 27 gameAll props Full sheet

Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic

FinalBOS 107 – ORL 98Page updated 21:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 10 availability alerts

Out Williams · two-way · BOS

Out Carter · two-way · BOS

Out George · illness · BOS

Out Nelson · left ankle injury recovery (ankle) · ORL

Out Suggs · right knee contusion/bone bruise (knee) · ORL

May not play Cain · left shoulder contusion (shoulder) · ORL

Out Isaac · left knee injury management (knee) · ORL

Out Penda · right partially torn hamstring (hamstring) · ORL

Out Banchero · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · ORL

May not play Silva · left calf strain (calf) · ORL

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Williams · two-way · BOS

Out Carter · two-way · BOS

Out George · illness · BOS

Out Nelson · left ankle injury recovery (ankle) · ORL

Out Suggs · right knee contusion/bone bruise (knee) · ORL

May not play Cain · left shoulder contusion (shoulder) · ORL

Out Isaac · left knee injury management (knee) · ORL

Out Penda · right partially torn hamstring (hamstring) · ORL

Out Banchero · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · ORL

May not play Silva · left calf strain (calf) · ORL

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 18 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 3 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 0 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 6 actual

Orlando Magic

Anthony Black · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 10 actual

Franz Wagner · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → 24 actual

Wendell Carter Jr. · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 9 actual

Jonathan Isaac · Out · left knee injury management (knee) · listed out, then played

points 3.5 → 4 actual

Paolo Banchero · Out · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · listed out, then played

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 8 · both teams together expected to score about 199.5 points · odds to win: BOS 1.30, ORL 3.86

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 23:00 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:45 UTC

Who is out

Out Williams · two-way · BOS

Out Carter · two-way · BOS

Out George · illness · BOS

Out Nelson · left ankle injury recovery (ankle) · ORL

Out Suggs · right knee contusion/bone bruise (knee) · ORL

May not play Cain · left shoulder contusion (shoulder) · ORL

Out Isaac · left knee injury management (knee) · ORL

Out Penda · right partially torn hamstring (hamstring) · ORL

Out Banchero · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · ORL

May not play Silva · left calf strain (calf) · ORL

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 227 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 7 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Payton Pritchard · points 9.5 → 0 · 9.5 below the line · played 26 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · points 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 18 min · no final price

Anthony Black · points 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 18.3 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · assists 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 42.2 min · no final price

Paolo Banchero · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 40.3 min · no final price

Derrick White · points 14.5 → 18 · 3.5 above the line · played 39.3 min · no final price

Jonathan Isaac · points 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 12.7 min · no final price

Wendell Carter Jr. · points 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.8 min · no final price

Franz Wagner · points 24.5 → 24 · 0.5 below the line · played 39.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ORL vs BOS · last 27 games · BOS leads · ORL record 8–19 · average score 102.9–110.7 · ORL has lost by 7.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Nov · BOS 108 at ORL 97ORL lost

12 Apr · ORL 108 at BOS 113ORL lost

What each defense gives up per game

BOS gives up104.0 points · 43.4 rebounds · 25.0 assists · 33.5% from three-point range

ORL gives up114.6 points · 41.7 rebounds · 28.7 assists · 38.7% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

BOS gives up 104.0 points a game · 2nd of 30 · league average 113.3−9.3 vs average

ORL gives up 114.6 points a game · 18th of 30 · league average 113.3about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 60

sds games/date (2025-04-18)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-17)ok 200 · 230 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-16)ok 200 · 232 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-15)ok 200 · 233 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-14)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-26)ok 200 · 272 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-25)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-24)ok 200 · 272 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-23)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-22)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-21)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-20)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-19)ok 200 · 275 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 274 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 279 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-13)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 280 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 281 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 296 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 382 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 390 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 409 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 411 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 437 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 500 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 98 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 99 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 98 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 99 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 105 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 577 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 586 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 204 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 628 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 314 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 332 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 678 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 679 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 681 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 1099 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 685 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 685 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 689 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 691 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 692 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.