NBA · May 1 gameAll props Full sheet

New York Knicks at Detroit Pistons

FinalNYK 116 – DET 113Page updated 20:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 5 availability alerts

May not play Towns · left sore calf (calf) · NYK

Out Harkless · two-way · DET

Out Joe · right hip contusion (hip) · DET

Out Duren · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · DET

Out Onyenso · two-way · DET

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

May not play Towns · left sore calf (calf) · NYK

Out Harkless · two-way · DET

Out Joe · right hip contusion (hip) · DET

Out Duren · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · DET

Out Onyenso · two-way · DET

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson · minutes unknown

points 28.5 → 40 actual

Josh Hart · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 13 actual

Karl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → 10 actual

Mikal Bridges · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 25 actual

Miles McBride · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 3 actual

OG Anunoby · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 22 actual

Detroit Pistons

Ausar Thompson · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 17 actual

Cade Cunningham · minutes unknown

points 27.5 → 23 actual

Paul Reed · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 1 actual

Jalen Duren · Out · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · listed out, then played

points 11.5 → 21 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DET expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 213 points · odds to win: NYK 2.04, DET 1.87

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 23:30 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 20:57 UTC

Who is out

Hart · likely to play · illness · NYK

May not play Towns · left sore calf (calf) · NYK

Out Harkless · two-way · DET

Out Joe · right hip contusion (hip) · DET

Out Duren · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · DET

Out Onyenso · two-way · DET

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 224 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Jalen Duren · points 11.5 → 21 · 9.5 above the line · played 39.1 min · no final price

Ausar Thompson · points 9.5 → 17 · 7.5 above the line · played 22.8 min · no final price

Mikal Bridges · points 14.5 → 25 · 10.5 above the line · played 44.5 min · no final price

Paul Reed · rebounds 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 7.5 min · no final price

Karl-Anthony Towns · points 23.5 → 10 · 13.5 below the line · played 37.5 min · no final price

Jalen Brunson · points 28.5 → 40 · 11.5 above the line · played 42.3 min · no final price

Miles McBride · points 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 17.2 min · no final price

OG Anunoby · points 16.5 → 22 · 5.5 above the line · played 44.3 min · no final price

Josh Hart · points 10.5 → 13 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.9 min · no final price

Cade Cunningham · points 27.5 → 23 · 4.5 below the line · played 44.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DET vs NYK · last 28 games · NYK leads · DET record 9–19 · average score 106.7–111.4 · DET has lost by 4.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Oct · DET 97 at NYK 111DET lost

What each defense gives up per game

NYK gives up102.3 points · 39.8 rebounds · 25.1 assists · 33.7% from three-point range

DET gives up104.6 points · 45.1 rebounds · 21.6 assists · 32.2% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

NYK gives up 102.3 points a game · 1st of 30 · league average 113.3−11.0 vs average

DET gives up 104.6 points a game · 3rd of 30 · league average 113.3−8.7 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 63

sds games/date (2025-04-18)ok 200 · 132 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 164 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-30)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-29)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-27)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-28)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-25)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-26)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-23)ok 200 · 278 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-24)ok 200 · 278 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-22)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-21)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-19)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-20)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 280 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 280 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 305 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 336 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 374 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 400 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 401 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-17)ok 200 · 407 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 409 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 413 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 122 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 434 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 652 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 124 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 144 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 147 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 146 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 147 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 149 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 156 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 158 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 183 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 285 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 298 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 304 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 320 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 698 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.