NBA · May 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalGSW 93 – MIN 117Page updated 19:53 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 7 availability alerts

Out Williams · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · GSW

Out II · left knee inflammation (knee) · GSW

Out III · right aclrepair/surgery · GSW

Out Porziņģis · not with team · GSW

Out Moody · left knee tendon repair/surgery · GSW

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Williams · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · GSW

Out II · left knee inflammation (knee) · GSW

Out III · right aclrepair/surgery · GSW

Out Porziņģis · not with team · GSW

Out Moody · left knee tendon repair/surgery · GSW

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 6 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 21.5 → 18 actual

Gary Payton II · Out · left knee inflammation (knee) · listed out, then played

points 6.5 → 0 actual

Jimmy Butler III · Out · right aclrepair/surgery · listed out, then played

rebounds 6.5 → 7 actual

Moses Moody · Out · left patellar tendon repair/surgery · listed out, then played

points 5.5 → 3 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 16 actual

Jonathan Kuminga · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 18 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

rebounds 10.5 → 9 actual

Anthony Edwards · Out · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · listed out, then played

rebounds 7.5 → 9 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · Out · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · listed out, then played

points 10.5 → 9 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 19:53 UTC

Who is out

Out Williams · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · GSW

Out II · left knee inflammation (knee) · GSW

Out III · right aclrepair/surgery · GSW

Out Porziņģis · not with team · GSW

Out Moody · left knee tendon repair/surgery · GSW

Richard · likely to play · left thumb ucltear (thumb) · GSW

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 252 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Jonathan Kuminga · points 7.5 → 18 · 10.5 above the line · played 26.4 min · no final price

Gary Payton II · points 6.5 → 0 · 6.5 below the line · played 11.3 min · no final price

Moses Moody · points 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 16.5 min · no final price

Jaden McDaniels · points 12.5 → 16 · 3.5 above the line · played 33.1 min · no final price

Anthony Edwards · rebounds 7.5 → 9 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.9 min · no final price

Draymond Green · points + rebounds + assists 21.5 → 18 · 3.5 below the line · played 29.2 min · no final price

Rudy Gobert · rebounds 10.5 → 9 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.8 min · no final price

Donte DiVincenzo · points 10.5 → 9 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.6 min · no final price

Brandin Podziemski · rebounds 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 33 min · no final price

Jimmy Butler III · rebounds 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs GSW · last 31 games · MIN leads · MIN record 18–13 · average score 111.4–110.1 · MIN has won by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

28 Oct · GSW 119 at MIN 114MIN lost

What each defense gives up per game

GSW gives up111.2 points · 41.5 rebounds · 26.7 assists · 34.0% from three-point range

MIN gives up107.0 points · 43.2 rebounds · 24.0 assists · 32.0% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

GSW gives up 111.2 points a game · 12th of 30 · league average 113.3−2.1 vs average

MIN gives up 107.0 points a game · 7th of 30 · league average 113.3−6.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 63

sds games/date (2025-05-03)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-02)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 31 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-05)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-07)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-04)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-06)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-29)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-01)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-30)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-28)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-25)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-26)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-27)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 38 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 38 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 99 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 102 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 110 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 140 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-24)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 146 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 149 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 95 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 316 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 2191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 39 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 41 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 41 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 44 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 161 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 165 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 174 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 177 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 179 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 193 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 209 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 228 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 240 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 634 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 639 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.