NBA · May 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors

FinalMIN 117 – GSW 110Page updated 07:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 7 availability alerts

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Out II · left knee inflammation (knee) · GSW

Out III · right aclrepair/surgery · GSW

Out Porziņģis · not with team · GSW

Out Moody · left knee tendon repair/surgery · GSW

Out Richard · left thumb ucltear (thumb) · GSW

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Out II · left knee inflammation (knee) · GSW

Out III · right aclrepair/surgery · GSW

Out Porziņģis · not with team · GSW

Out Moody · left knee tendon repair/surgery · GSW

Out Richard · left thumb ucltear (thumb) · GSW

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 13 actual

Jonathan Kuminga · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 23 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

rebounds 10.5 → 6 actual

Anthony Edwards · Out · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · listed out, then played

points 27.5 → 30 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · Out · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · listed out, then played

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 14 actual

Gary Payton II · Out · left knee inflammation (knee) · listed out, then played

rebounds 2.5 → 3 actual

Jimmy Butler III · Out · right aclrepair/surgery · listed out, then played

rebounds 6.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 07:57 UTC

Who is out

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Out II · left knee inflammation (knee) · GSW

Out III · right aclrepair/surgery · GSW

Out Porziņģis · not with team · GSW

Out Moody · left knee tendon repair/surgery · GSW

Out Richard · left thumb ucltear (thumb) · GSW

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 236 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Jaden McDaniels · rebounds 5.5 → 13 · 7.5 above the line · played 40.3 min · no final price

Draymond Green · points 8.5 → 14 · 5.5 above the line · played 33.9 min · no final price

Brandin Podziemski · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 33 min · no final price

Rudy Gobert · rebounds 10.5 → 6 · 4.5 below the line · played 29.8 min · no final price

Jonathan Kuminga · points 17.5 → 23 · 5.5 above the line · played 29.5 min · no final price

Donte DiVincenzo · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.7 min · no final price

Gary Payton II · rebounds 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 15.9 min · no final price

Anthony Edwards · points 27.5 → 30 · 2.5 above the line · played 33.3 min · no final price

Jimmy Butler III · rebounds 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs MIN · last 31 games · MIN leads · GSW record 13–18 · average score 110.1–111.4 · GSW has lost by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

28 Oct · GSW 119 at MIN 114GSW won

13 Mar · MIN 127 at GSW 117GSW lost

What each defense gives up per game

MIN gives up107.0 points · 43.2 rebounds · 24.0 assists · 32.0% from three-point range

GSW gives up113.6 points · 42.6 rebounds · 27.3 assists · 34.4% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIN gives up 107.0 points a game · 6th of 30 · league average 113.4−6.4 vs average

GSW gives up 113.6 points a game · 15th of 30 · league average 113.4about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 60

sds games/date (2025-05-08)ok 200 · 71 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 78 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-02)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-03)ok 200 · 82 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-11)ok 200 · 160 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-05)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-10)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-07)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-09)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-06)ok 200 · 162 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 163 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-04)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-01)ok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 163 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 277 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 285 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 365 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 382 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 383 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 398 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-29)ok 200 · 399 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-30)ok 200 · 400 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 409 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 415 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-28)ok 200 · 416 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 258 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 426 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 427 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 116 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 115 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 117 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 116 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 118 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 118 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 119 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 206 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 290 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.