NBA · Nov 8 gameAll props Full sheet

New Orleans Pelicans at San Antonio Spurs

FinalNOP 119 – SAS 126Page updated 21:36 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New Orleans Pelicans

Derik Queen · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 5 actual

Jeremiah Fears · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Saddiq Bey · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 2 actual

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

San Antonio Spurs

De'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 4 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 14 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 12 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAS expected to win by about 11 · both teams together expected to score about 223.5 points · odds to win: NOP 5.30, SAS 1.19

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 00:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:36 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

SAS also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 308 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Jeremiah Fears · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.43, Under 1.51

Harrison Barnes · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 28 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.62, Under 2.20

Devin Vassell · 3-pointers 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 33 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.89

Saddiq Bey · rebounds 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 29.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Julian Champagnie · points 9.5 → 14 · 4.5 above the line · played 25.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.78, Under 2.00

De'Aaron Fox · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 30.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.68

Stephon Castle · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.65

Derik Queen · rebounds 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.85

Trey Murphy III · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.05

Keldon Johnson · points 10.5 → 12 · 1.5 above the line · played 19.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.10

Victor Wembanyama · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.78

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAS vs NOP · last 25 games · SAS leads · SAS record 13–12 · average score 110.6–115.8 · SAS has lost by 5.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SAS expected to win by 11, expected total 223.5 (Sun 00:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 00:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 37 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 102 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 122 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 127 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 129 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 131 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 132 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 136 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 142 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 145 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 148 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 24 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 99 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 411 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 652 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 808 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 75 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 117 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 323 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 530 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 616 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 615 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 617 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 618 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 619 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 620 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 619 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 619 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 621 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 814 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.