NBA · Jan 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs

FinalMIN 123 – SAS 126Page updated 16:33 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes14 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 9 actual

Bones Hyland · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 7 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 5 actual

Jaylen Clark · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 0 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → no final stat available

San Antonio Spurs

De'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 12 actual

Dylan Harper · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 5 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Luke Kornet · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 8 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAS expected to win by about 5 · both teams together expected to score about 234.5 points · odds to win: MIN 2.67, SAS 1.53

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:33 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 362 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

14 other players with a posted line

Anthony Edwards · 3-pointers 3.5 → 9 · 5.5 above the line · played 40.1 min · no final price

De'Aaron Fox · assists 5.5 → 12 · 6.5 above the line · played 36.8 min · no final price

Jaden McDaniels · assists 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 40.9 min · no final price

Jaylen Clark · points 5.5 → 0 · 5.5 below the line · played 9.6 min · no final price

Keldon Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.3 min · no final price

Bones Hyland · points 11.5 → 7 · 4.5 below the line · played 12.6 min · no final price

Harrison Barnes · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.9 min · no final price

Stephon Castle · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.9 min · no final price

Julian Champagnie · rebounds 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.6 min · no final price

Luke Kornet · points 6.5 → 8 · 1.5 above the line · played 19.3 min · no final price

Victor Wembanyama · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 30.5 min · no final price

Dylan Harper · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.3 min · no final price

Donte DiVincenzo · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.4 min · no final price

Rudy Gobert · points 10.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAS vs MIN · last 29 games · MIN leads · SAS record 11–18 · average score 113.4–115.0 · SAS has lost by 1.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

15 May · SAS 139 at MIN 109SAS won

12 May · MIN 97 at SAS 126SAS won

10 May · SAS 109 at MIN 114SAS lost

8 May · SAS 115 at MIN 108SAS won

6 May · MIN 95 at SAS 133SAS won

4 May · MIN 104 at SAS 102SAS lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SAS expected to win by 5, expected total 234.5 (Sun 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 61

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 13 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 87 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 90 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 89 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 94 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 93 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 96 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 95 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 97 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 98 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 100 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 109 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 180 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 56 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 71 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 106 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 293 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 298 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 304 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 305 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 309 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 313 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 316 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 320 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 503 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 335 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 352 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 354 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 385 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 387 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 859 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 860 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 860 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 871 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 896 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 897 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 899 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 908 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 908 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 917 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 946 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 947 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1144 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1209 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.