NBA · Feb 3 gameAll props Full sheet

Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat

FinalATL 127 – MIA 115Page updated 14:58 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Atlanta Hawks

CJ McCollum · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 6 actual

Corey Kispert · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 13 actual

Dyson Daniels · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 5 actual

Jalen Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Mouhamed Gueye · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Nickeil Alexander-Walker · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 7 actual

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 1 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 1 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 14:58 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 184 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

CJ McCollum · 3-pointers 2.5 → 6 · 3.5 above the line · played 26.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Jalen Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95

Nickeil Alexander-Walker · assists 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 31.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Bam Adebayo · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Davion Mitchell · rebounds 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.07, Under 1.72

Dru Smith · rebounds 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 18.6 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.64, Under 2.17

Corey Kispert · points 8.5 → 13 · 4.5 above the line · played 27.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Nikola Jović · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 7.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.87

Simone Fontecchio · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Mouhamed Gueye · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 21.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.80

Dyson Daniels · assists 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Pelle Larsson · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs ATL · last 32 games · MIA leads · MIA record 22–9 · average score 110.8–104.1 · MIA has won by 6.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Apr · ATL 117 at MIA 143MIA won

20 Feb · MIA 128 at ATL 97MIA won

3 Feb · ATL 127 at MIA 115MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 16 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 27 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 31 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 91 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 120 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 121 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 126 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 112 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 80 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 185 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 202 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 231 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 778 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2556 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2507 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2509 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2696 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2696 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2695 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2695 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2694 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2758 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2760 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.