NBA · Feb 20 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers

FinalDEN 157 – POR 103Page updated 14:58 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 8 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 36.5 → 37 actual

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Portland Trail Blazers

Deni Avdija · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 13 actual

Donovan Clingan · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 15 actual

Jrue Holiday · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 4 actual

Robert Williams III · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

Scoot Henderson · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Toumani Camara · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Vít Krejčí · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 11 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 241 points · odds to win: DEN 1.87, POR 2.04

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 03:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:58 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DEN also played the day before this game · POR had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 354 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Deni Avdija · assists 5.5 → 13 · 7.5 above the line · played 30.4 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 29.3 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 4.5 → 8 · 3.5 above the line · played 26.9 min · no final price

Jrue Holiday · 3-pointers 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 25.3 min · no final price

Vít Krejčí · points 7.5 → 11 · 3.5 above the line · played 17 min · no final price

Robert Williams III · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 11.9 min · no final price

Julian Strawther · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.3 min · no final price

Scoot Henderson · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 21 min · no final price

Donovan Clingan · points 11.5 → 15 · 3.5 above the line · played 18.7 min · no final price

Toumani Camara · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.4 min · no final price

Cameron Johnson · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 26.7 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · points + rebounds + assists 36.5 → 37 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

POR vs DEN · last 32 games · DEN leads · POR record 9–23 · average score 114.2–120.9 · POR has lost by 6.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Apr · POR 132 at DEN 137POR lost

22 Mar · POR 112 at DEN 128POR lost

20 Feb · DEN 157 at POR 103POR lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 1, expected total 241 (Sat 03:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 03:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 54 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 56 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 73 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 133 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 162 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 163 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 164 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 52 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 53 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 196 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 215 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 160 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 217 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 217 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 88 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 228 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 475 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 711 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 723 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 725 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 722 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 723 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 723 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 723 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1024 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1034 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1128 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1131 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1131 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1175 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.