NBA · Feb 28 gameAll props Full sheet

Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors

FinalLAL 129 – GSW 101Page updated 12:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

steals 1.5 → 0 actual

Golden State Warriors

Al Horford · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

De'Anthony Melton · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 1 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 7 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 1 actual

Gui Santos · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Kristaps Porziņģis · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → no final stat available

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 12 actual

Will Richard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAL expected to win by about 4 · both teams together expected to score about 225.5 points · odds to win: LAL 1.64, GSW 2.40

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 01:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 12:23 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 161 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Austin Reaves · steals 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.8 min · no final price

Will Richard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 4.5 min · no final price

De'Anthony Melton · rebounds 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 23.9 min · no final price

Gary Payton II · rebounds 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 15.6 min · no final price

Al Horford · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 22.2 min · no final price

Brandin Podziemski · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 29.9 min · no final price

Gui Santos · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.3 min · no final price

Draymond Green · points 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 23.9 min · no final price

Moses Moody · points 14.5 → 12 · 2.5 below the line · played 29.8 min · no final price

Kristaps Porziņģis · points 11.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs LAL · last 30 games · LAL leads · GSW record 12–18 · average score 113.1–116.7 · GSW has lost by 3.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Apr · LAL 119 at GSW 103GSW lost

28 Feb · LAL 129 at GSW 101GSW lost

7 Feb · GSW 99 at LAL 105GSW lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LAL expected to win by 4, expected total 225.5 (Sun 01:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 01:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 11 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 12 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 13 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 22 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 85 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 94 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 108 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 112 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 114 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 116 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 106 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 119 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 500 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 544 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 466 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 467 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 469 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 475 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 476 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 475 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 477 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 541 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 679 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.