NBA · Mar 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Toronto Raptors

FinalDAL 92 – TOR 122Page updated 13:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 6 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 11 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 8 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 9 actual

Toronto Raptors

Immanuel Quickley · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 10 actual

Ja'Kobe Walter · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 11 actual

Jakob Poeltl · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 16 actual

Jamal Shead · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 0 actual

RJ Barrett · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Scottie Barnes · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 17 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

TOR expected to win by about 10 · both teams together expected to score about 233.5 points · odds to win: DAL 4.38, TOR 1.25

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 22:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 13:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 264 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Jamal Shead · points 6.5 → 0 · 6.5 below the line · played 13.9 min · no final price

Cooper Flagg · assists 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.5 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 6.5 → 11 · 4.5 above the line · played 23.3 min · no final price

Ja'Kobe Walter · points 6.5 → 11 · 4.5 above the line · played 25.7 min · no final price

Jakob Poeltl · points 10.5 → 16 · 5.5 above the line · played 30.5 min · no final price

Naji Marshall · points 14.5 → 8 · 6.5 below the line · played 21.6 min · no final price

Immanuel Quickley · points 17.5 → 10 · 7.5 below the line · played 31.3 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · points 12.5 → 9 · 3.5 below the line · played 30.9 min · no final price

Max Christie · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.6 min · no final price

RJ Barrett · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.7 min · no final price

Scottie Barnes · points 18.5 → 17 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

TOR vs DAL · last 14 games · DAL leads · TOR record 5–9 · average score 112.1–112.3 · TOR has lost by 0.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

8 Mar · DAL 92 at TOR 122TOR won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had TOR expected to win by 10, expected total 233.5 (Sun 22:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 22:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 19 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 101 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 104 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 107 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 110 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 109 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 114 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 115 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 117 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 124 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 129 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 90 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 433 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 891 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1426 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 53 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 63 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 232 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 645 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 841 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 843 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 966 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 968 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 969 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 969 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 967 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1014 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1681 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1730 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.