NBA · Mar 23 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks

FinalGSW 137 – DAL 131Page updated 13:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes13 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 10 actual

De'Anthony Melton · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

Gui Santos · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Kristaps Porziņģis · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 22 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Will Richard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

points 22.5 → 32 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 7 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 7 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 13:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 222 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Will Richard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 12 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

De'Anthony Melton · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 22.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.64, Under 2.14

Draymond Green · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 38.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.89

Gui Santos · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.75

Naji Marshall · assists 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 35.4 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.61, Under 2.20

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.81

Brandin Podziemski · rebounds 5.5 → 10 · 4.5 above the line · played 40.5 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Cooper Flagg · points 22.5 → 32 · 9.5 above the line · played 41.6 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Kristaps Porziņģis · points 17.5 → 22 · 4.5 above the line · played 29.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.90

Gary Payton II · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 21.4 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.81

Max Christie · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.3 min · Fanatics odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.53

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.5 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.83

Moses Moody · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.33, Under 1.55

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs GSW · last 29 games · DAL leads · DAL record 16–13 · average score 116.9–115.5 · DAL has won by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

23 Mar · GSW 137 at DAL 131DAL lost

22 Jan · GSW 115 at DAL 123DAL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 58

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 19 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 104 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 108 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 109 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 110 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 110 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 111 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 111 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 120 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 139 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 87 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 498 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 538 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 102 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 108 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1532 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1323 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1395 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1464 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1468 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1473 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1472 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1476 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1536 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1535 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1537 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1543 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1548 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.