NBA · Mar 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalHOU 108 – MIN 110Page updated 13:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 30 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 10 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 12 actual

Kevin Durant · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 8 actual

Reed Sheppard · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Tari Eason · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 3 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Ayo Dosunmu · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → no final stat available

Bones Hyland · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 8 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 14 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

HOU expected to win by about 2 · both teams together expected to score about 222.5 points · odds to win: HOU 1.79, MIN 2.15

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 01:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 13:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 306 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Amen Thompson · assists 4.5 → 10 · 5.5 above the line · played 45.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.60, Under 1.47

Jaden McDaniels · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 37 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Jabari Smith Jr. · rebounds 6.5 → 12 · 5.5 above the line · played 47.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Kevin Durant · assists 4.5 → 8 · 3.5 above the line · played 43.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Bones Hyland · assists 4.5 → 8 · 3.5 above the line · played 29.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.56

Alperen Sengun · points 18.5 → 30 · 11.5 above the line · played 42.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Tari Eason · points 7.5 → 3 · 4.5 below the line · played 21 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Donte DiVincenzo · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 36.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Reed Sheppard · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Rudy Gobert · points 12.5 → 14 · 1.5 above the line · played 28.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Ayo Dosunmu · points 16.5 → no final stat available · DraftKings odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.95

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs HOU · last 23 games · MIN leads · MIN record 15–8 · average score 116.5–113.9 · MIN has won by 2.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · MIN 136 at HOU 132MIN won

25 Mar · HOU 108 at MIN 110MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had HOU expected to win by 2, expected total 222.5 (Thu 01:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 01:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 14 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 15 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 30 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 99 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 108 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 137 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 148 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 150 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 139 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 70 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 76 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 83 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 243 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 315 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 494 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1402 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1441 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1441 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1441 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1442 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1441 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1441 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1442 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1483 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1487 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1491 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1500 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.