NBA · Apr 10 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs

FinalDAL 120 – SAS 139Page updated 08:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 19.5 → 19 actual

San Antonio Spurs

De'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 10 actual

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 5 actual

Dylan Harper · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 13 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 14 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 17 actual

Luke Kornet · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 2 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 40 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAS expected to win by about 18 · both teams together expected to score about 237 points · odds to win: DAL 12.56, SAS 1.05

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 08:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 219 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Victor Wembanyama · points 19.5 → 40 · 20.5 above the line · played 26.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Cooper Flagg · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.2 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.42, Under 2.50

Luke Kornet · points 7.5 → 2 · 5.5 below the line · played 18.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.93

Devin Vassell · points 13.5 → 5 · 8.5 below the line · played 27.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

De'Aaron Fox · assists 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 27.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.28, Under 1.60

Julian Champagnie · points 9.5 → 14 · 4.5 above the line · played 26.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.95

Keldon Johnson · points 14.5 → 17 · 2.5 above the line · played 23.5 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.00

Dylan Harper · points 14.5 → 13 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.86, Under 1.90

Max Christie · points + rebounds + assists 19.5 → 19 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Stephon Castle · 3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available · Caesars odds: Over 2.62, Under 1.44

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAS vs DAL · last 26 games · DAL leads · SAS record 7–19 · average score 116.4–119.5 · SAS has lost by 3.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · DAL 120 at SAS 139SAS won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SAS expected to win by 18, expected total 237 (Sat 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 11 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 15 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 40 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 109 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 110 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 112 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 113 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 103 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 157 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 192 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 275 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 319 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 336 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 337 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 341 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 357 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 374 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 515 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 407 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 418 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 425 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 675 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 692 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 694 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 699 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 723 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 767 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 799 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1001 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1066 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1066 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.