NBA · Apr 10 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings

FinalGSW 118 – SAC 124Page updated 12:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Warriors

Al Horford · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 11.5 → 12 actual

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 30 actual

De'Anthony Melton · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 6 actual

Gui Santos · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Kristaps Porziņģis · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 11 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → 11 actual

Sacramento Kings

Dylan Cardwell · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 7 actual

Maxime Raynaud · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 25.5 → 36 actual

Nique Clifford · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 26.5 → 32 actual

Precious Achiuwa · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 23.5 → 15 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSW expected to win by about 10.5 · both teams together expected to score about 229.5 points · odds to win: GSW 1.20, SAC 4.77

Game odds from 10 bookmakers · observed Sat 01:50 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 12:23 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

GSW also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 226 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 10 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Brandin Podziemski · points 15.5 → 30 · 14.5 above the line · played 32.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.81

Stephen Curry · points 23.5 → 11 · 12.5 below the line · played 27.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Maxime Raynaud · points + rebounds + assists 25.5 → 36 · 10.5 above the line · played 39.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Precious Achiuwa · points + rebounds + assists 23.5 → 15 · 8.5 below the line · played 24.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Gui Santos · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.66, Under 2.16

Kristaps Porziņģis · points 16.5 → 11 · 5.5 below the line · played 25.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Nique Clifford · points + rebounds + assists 26.5 → 32 · 5.5 above the line · played 37.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Dylan Cardwell · points 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 23.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.06, Under 1.73

De'Anthony Melton · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 28 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Draymond Green · assists 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 23.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Al Horford · points + rebounds + assists 11.5 → 12 · 0.5 above the line · played 17.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.81

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAC vs GSW · last 32 games · GSW leads · SAC record 13–19 · average score 113.2–117.1 · SAC has lost by 3.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · GSW 118 at SAC 124SAC won

7 Apr · SAC 105 at GSW 110SAC lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Fanatics first had GSW expected to win by 11, expected total 230.5 (Fri 04:18 UTC) and later GSW expected to win by 11, expected total 229 (Sat 01:50 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 22 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 106 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 110 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 112 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 111 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 115 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 116 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 122 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 128 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 100 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 443 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 863 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1525 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 366 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 367 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 479 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 486 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 493 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 496 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 504 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 505 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 503 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 507 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 508 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 756 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.