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Stephanie Talbot over 6.5 points

She has cleared 6.5 in 34 of 163 games — 20.9%. That rate needs +379 to break even and books have been paying +116.

—

Tonight

THU · OCT 1

Out She is Out tonight (Left Leg). Every rate below comes from games she played — tonight starts with whether she plays.

IND @ LVA9:00 PM ETbench · 25 projected minutes
OutDana EvansRight Knee
2026 AT TONIGHT'S 5.5over in 13 of 47 games (28%)
PRICE THAT RATE NEEDSover +262 · best posted -111 · under -262 · best posted +104

Every game she played this season, tonight's excluded — no filter on her minutes.

GAMES SHE PLAYED 22+ MIN · 202611 games · 26.7 min · 7.7 points

Tonight's projection is 25 minutes. These games were picked after the fact — by the minutes she ended up playing, which no projection can promise — so they keep her full nights and drop the ones cut short. Averages only; not a rate to read against a line or a price.

WITHOUT EVANS33 games · 19.1 min · 4.1 points · 9/33 over 6.5with her (14 games): 14.4 min · 3.9 points · 14%with her →

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Distribution

163 games · hover a bucket
UNDER · 129OVER · 34  ·  filled bars clear the line
02

Recent games

points · line 6.5 · hover a bar
2026-06-25— 5-game mean2026-09-29 · newest
03

Recent form

60.0%6/10 · last 10
2026-08-18 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-20 · 5 points · UNDER
5
2026-08-23 · 9 points · OVER
9
2026-08-28 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-09-17 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-09-20 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-09-22 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-09-24 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-09-27 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-09-29 · 9 points · OVER
9

A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.

04

Market history

median · 4 postings6.5+116
best offered6.5+140
worst offered6.5-109
our break-even6.5+379

Median +116 across 4 postings over 2 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.

05

Game log

25 of 163 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 6.5
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2
IND
AWAY
27.1MIN
9POINTS
5 · 1 · 4-6
OVER
FG
4-6
3PT
0-2
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
2/3
TS%
65.4
USG%
15.4
STL
1
BLK
2
TOV
2
PF
5
+/−
-7
PRA
15
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1
IND
HOME
28.4MIN
8POINTS
2 · 3 · 2-8
OVER
FG
2-8
3PT
1-2
FT
3-4
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
41.0
USG%
15.5
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+5
PRA
13
2026-09-24
PHO
AWAY
30.7MIN
14POINTS
4 · 0 · 6-6
OVER
FG
6-6
3PT
1-1
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
108.7
USG%
9.2
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+17
PRA
18
2026-09-22
LAS
HOME
24.8MIN
14POINTS
3 · 0 · 6-8
OVER
FG
6-8
3PT
2-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
87.5
USG%
15.0
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+7
PRA
17
2026-09-20
SEA
HOME
16.3MIN
2POINTS
3 · 1 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
50.0
USG%
11.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
0
PRA
6
2026-09-17
SEA
AWAY
15.8MIN
8POINTS
3 · 5 · 3-4
OVER
FG
3-4
3PT
2-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
100.0
USG%
13.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+18
PRA
16
2026-08-28
TOR
HOME
25.2MIN
3POINTS
4 · 0 · 1-5
UNDER
FG
1-5
3PT
1-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
30.0
USG%
12.2
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
+19
PRA
7
2026-08-23
TOR
AWAY
16.3MIN
9POINTS
1 · 0 · 4-5
OVER
FG
4-5
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
90.0
USG%
17.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+3
PRA
10
2026-08-20
CON
HOME
25.4MIN
5POINTS
6 · 4 · 2-2
UNDER
FG
2-2
3PT
0-0
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
2/4
TS%
102.5
USG%
4.0
STL
3
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+24
PRA
15
2026-08-18
ATL
HOME
12.0MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-2
UNDER
FG
0-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
11.0
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
+2
PRA
1
2026-08-15
MIN
HOME
10.0MIN
2POINTS
1 · 0 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
33.3
USG%
13.4
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-3
PRA
3
2026-08-13
WAS
HOME
16.0MIN
5POINTS
2 · 0 · 2-2
UNDER
FG
2-2
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
125.0
USG%
6.0
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+15
PRA
7
2026-08-11
WAS
HOME
7.4MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
UNDER
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-2
PRA
0
2026-08-09
NYL
AWAY
20.7MIN
4POINTS
2 · 0 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
1-2
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
51.5
USG%
13.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
0
+/−
-30
PRA
6
2026-08-08
MIN
AWAY
10.4MIN
2POINTS
1 · 0 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
8.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+2
PRA
3
2026-08-06
IND
AWAY
10.2MIN
4POINTS
2 · 0 · 2-4
UNDER
FG
2-4
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
16.3
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+4
PRA
6
2026-08-03
ATL
AWAY
7.5MIN
2POINTS
0 · 1 · 1-1
UNDER
FG
1-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
100.0
USG%
18.5
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
+3
PRA
3
2026-08-01
CHI
AWAY
7.3MIN
2POINTS
2 · 0 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
50.0
USG%
11.2
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-1
PRA
4
2026-07-30
NYL
HOME
11.0MIN
6POINTS
1 · 2 · 2-3
UNDER
FG
2-3
3PT
2-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
100.0
USG%
12.8
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+1
PRA
9
2026-07-28
POR
HOME
15.4MIN
2POINTS
0 · 1 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
33.3
USG%
9.7
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
-9
PRA
3
2026-07-22
WAS
AWAY
8.8MIN
2POINTS
0 · 0 · 1-1
UNDER
FG
1-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
100.0
USG%
5.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+4
PRA
2
2026-07-20
TOR
AWAY
14.7MIN
4POINTS
1 · 0 · 2-8
UNDER
FG
2-8
3PT
0-6
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
25.0
USG%
24.8
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
0
PRA
5
2026-07-12
IND
HOME
12.9MIN
0POINTS
2 · 1 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
7.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-8
PRA
3
2026-07-11
PHO
HOME
23.9MIN
2POINTS
7 · 2 · 1-4
UNDER
FG
1-4
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
4/3
TS%
25.0
USG%
9.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
+21
PRA
11
2026-07-09
POR
AWAY
16.8MIN
0POINTS
2 · 1 · 0-3
UNDER
FG
0-3
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
0.0
USG%
11.5
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-5
PRA
3
showing 25 of 163 — every rate above is computed over all 163