NBA · Dec 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Denver Nuggets

FinalHOU 114 – DEN 106Page updated 11:50 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 7 actual

Fred VanVleet · minutes unknown

assists 8.5 → 3 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 0 actual

Tari Eason · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 8 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 2 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 3 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

points 29.5 → 23 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 9 · both teams together expected to score about 222 points · odds to win: HOU 4.20, DEN 1.26

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 02:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:50 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 223 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Jabari Smith Jr. · blocks 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.4 min · no final price

Christian Braun · points 6.5 → 2 · 4.5 below the line · played 14.1 min · no final price

Fred VanVleet · assists 8.5 → 3 · 5.5 below the line · played 39.9 min · no final price

Alperen Sengun · assists 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 33.7 min · no final price

Tari Eason · rebounds 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 17.2 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · assists 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 31.7 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · points 29.5 → 23 · 6.5 below the line · played 34.4 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 22.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs HOU · last 24 games · DEN leads · DEN record 16–8 · average score 115.2–111.2 · DEN has won by 4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

11 Mar · HOU 93 at DEN 129DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 9, expected total 222 (Sat 02:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 02:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 19 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 20 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 52 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 93 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 104 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 105 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 106 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 109 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 115 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 137 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 138 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 59 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 422 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 457 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 494 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 502 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 503 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 504 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 518 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 542 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 552 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 567 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.