NBA · Mar 3 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Warriors at Boston Celtics

FinalGSW 88 – BOS 140Page updated 02:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Warriors

Al Horford · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 4 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 2 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 1 actual

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 19 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 12 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 8 · both teams together expected to score about 231 points · odds to win: GSW 3.83, BOS 1.30

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 20:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 02:23 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 247 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Payton Pritchard · points 7.5 → 19 · 11.5 above the line · played 27.4 min · no final price

Gary Payton II · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.2 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · points 6.5 → 12 · 5.5 above the line · played 19.6 min · no final price

Stephen Curry · rebounds 4.5 → 1 · 3.5 below the line · played 16.7 min · no final price

Draymond Green · assists 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 13.6 min · no final price

Al Horford · assists 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 20.7 min · no final price

Moses Moody · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.3 min · no final price

Derrick White · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.7 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.2 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BOS vs GSW · last 19 games · BOS leads · BOS record 11–8 · average score 112.1–106.4 · BOS has won by 5.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

18 Mar · GSW 99 at BOS 120BOS won

19 Feb · BOS 121 at GSW 110BOS won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 8, expected total 231 (Sun 20:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 20:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 27 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 29 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 86 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 178 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 151 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 183 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 186 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 195 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 216 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 221 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 260 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 261 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 260 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 337 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 344 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 374 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 385 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 393 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 401 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 611 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 613 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 425 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 434 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 541 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 555 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 577 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 577 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 626 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 646 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 878 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 878 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 892 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.