NBA · Mar 19 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs

FinalDAL 113 – SAS 107Page updated 12:01 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 13 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

points + rebounds 13.5 → 17 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

San Antonio Spurs

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 6 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 9 · both teams together expected to score about 236 points · odds to win: DAL 1.27, SAS 4.13

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 12:01 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 240 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Kyrie Irving · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 38.4 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 34 min · no final price

Devin Vassell · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.4 min · no final price

Victor Wembanyama · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.1 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · points + rebounds 13.5 → 17 · 3.5 above the line · played 16.1 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · points 10.5 → 13 · 2.5 above the line · played 24.2 min · no final price

Keldon Johnson · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.3 min · no final price

Julian Champagnie · points 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAS vs DAL · last 26 games · DAL leads · SAS record 7–19 · average score 116.4–119.5 · SAS has lost by 3.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · DAL 120 at SAS 139SAS won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 9, expected total 236 (Wed 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 71 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 83 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 116 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 184 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 226 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 233 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 237 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 255 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 258 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 261 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 262 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 263 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 265 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 203 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 94 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 314 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 325 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pr)ok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 331 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 342 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 711 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 714 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 524 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 534 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 536 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 537 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 548 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 564 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 583 ms

odds player timeline (pr)ok 200 · 594 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.