NBA · May 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers

FinalBOS 114 – IND 111Page updated 07:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 6 availability alerts

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 7 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 10 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 9 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

assists 8.5 → 6 actual

Ben Sheppard · Out · left meniscus surgery · listed out, then played

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · Out · left hamstring strain (hamstring)

assists 8.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 07:57 UTC

Who is out

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 295 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Payton Pritchard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 14.5 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 13.4 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.1 min · no final price

Ben Sheppard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.6 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · assists 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 39.4 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 23.3 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.3 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · assists 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 29.4 min · no final price

Derrick White · assists 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 35.5 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · rebounds 9.5 → 10 · 0.5 above the line · played 44 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · assists 8.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs BOS · last 28 games · BOS leads · IND record 9–19 · average score 113.6–120.4 · IND has lost by 6.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

BOS gives up104.3 points · 43.5 rebounds · 25.2 assists · 33.8% from three-point range

IND gives up114.2 points · 47.9 rebounds · 27.2 assists · 35.5% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

BOS gives up 104.3 points a game · 4th of 30 · league average 113.4−9.1 vs average

IND gives up 114.2 points a game · 18th of 30 · league average 113.4about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 66

sds games/date (2024-05-18)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-24)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-16)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-22)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-17)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-20)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 23 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-13)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-15)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-11)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-14)ok 200 · 29 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 30 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-12)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-21)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-23)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 76 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-19)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 102 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 105 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 165 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 165 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 167 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 0 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 0 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 145 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 304 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 554 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 11 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 71 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 85 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 84 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 86 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 85 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 99 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 140 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 141 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 140 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 142 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 143 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 142 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 144 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 143 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 182 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 244 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.