NBA · May 27 gameAll props Full sheet

Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers

FinalBOS 105 – IND 102Page updated 07:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 6 availability alerts

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 4 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 8 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 10 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 12 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 4 actual

Ben Sheppard · Out · left meniscus surgery · listed out, then played

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 7.5 · both teams together expected to score about 222 points · odds to win: BOS 1.37, IND 3.32

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 07:57 UTC

Who is out

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 255 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Andrew Nembhard · assists 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 38.6 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · assists 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 25.2 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · assists 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 43.8 min · no final price

Payton Pritchard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 9.2 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 14.1 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.5 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 39.2 min · no final price

Derrick White · assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 42.1 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · points 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.2 min · no final price

Ben Sheppard · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 20.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs BOS · last 28 games · BOS leads · IND record 9–19 · average score 113.6–120.4 · IND has lost by 6.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

BOS gives up104.3 points · 43.5 rebounds · 25.2 assists · 33.8% from three-point range

IND gives up114.2 points · 47.9 rebounds · 27.2 assists · 35.5% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

BOS gives up 104.3 points a game · 4th of 30 · league average 113.4−9.1 vs average

IND gives up 114.2 points a game · 18th of 30 · league average 113.4about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 63

sds games/date (2024-05-25)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-16)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-20)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-21)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-24)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-17)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-26)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-23)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-22)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-18)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 21 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-19)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-15)ok 200 · 26 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-13)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-14)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 30 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 94 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 107 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 117 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 118 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 97 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 126 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 161 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 241 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 258 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 76 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 89 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 90 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 91 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 263 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 382 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 389 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 389 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 390 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 390 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 391 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 393 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 394 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 401 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 601 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 613 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 642 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 652 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 775 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.