NBA · Dec 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors

FinalDAL 143 – GSW 133Page updated 20:50 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 10 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

points + rebounds 16.5 → 15 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Golden State Warriors

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 4 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 10 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 20:50 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 191 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Kyrie Irving · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.95

Stephen Curry · assists 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 35.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.16, Under 1.65

Draymond Green · assists 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 29.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.17, Under 1.64

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.62

Dereck Lively II · points + rebounds 16.5 → 15 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.89

Daniel Gafford · points 9.5 → 10 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.97

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs DAL · last 29 games · DAL leads · GSW record 13–16 · average score 115.5–116.9 · GSW has lost by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

23 Mar · GSW 137 at DAL 131GSW won

22 Jan · GSW 115 at DAL 123GSW lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 93 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 98 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 109 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 152 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 292 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 297 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 301 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 328 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 353 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 369 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 372 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 373 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 374 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pr)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 321 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 945 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 819 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 820 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 879 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 885 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 896 ms

odds player timeline (pr)ok 200 · 908 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1356 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.