NBA · May 5 gameAll props Full sheet

New York Knicks at Boston Celtics

FinalNYK 108 – BOS 105Page updated 20:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 4 availability alerts

May not play Towns · left sore calf (calf) · NYK

Out Williams · two-way · BOS

Out Carter · two-way · BOS

Out George · illness · BOS

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

May not play Towns · left sore calf (calf) · NYK

Out Williams · two-way · BOS

Out Carter · two-way · BOS

Out George · illness · BOS

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson · minutes unknown

points 27.5 → 29 actual

Josh Hart · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 14 actual

Karl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown

rebounds 11.5 → 13 actual

Mikal Bridges · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 8 actual

Miles McBride · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 11 actual

OG Anunoby · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 19 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 16 actual

Mitchell Robinson · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 7 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 3 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

rebounds 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 8.5 · both teams together expected to score about 213 points · odds to win: NYK 3.99, BOS 1.28

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 23:00 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 20:23 UTC

Who is out

Hart · likely to play · illness · NYK

May not play Towns · left sore calf (calf) · NYK

Out Williams · two-way · BOS

Out Carter · two-way · BOS

Out George · illness · BOS

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 240 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Miles McBride · points 4.5 → 11 · 6.5 above the line · played 18.6 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · rebounds 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 4 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · rebounds 9.5 → 16 · 6.5 above the line · played 44.2 min · no final price

Mikal Bridges · points 14.5 → 8 · 6.5 below the line · played 51 min · no final price

Derrick White · points 14.5 → 19 · 4.5 above the line · played 44.1 min · no final price

OG Anunoby · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 45.8 min · no final price

Mitchell Robinson · rebounds 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 20.9 min · no final price

Josh Hart · points 11.5 → 14 · 2.5 above the line · played 45.2 min · no final price

Payton Pritchard · rebounds 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.4 min · no final price

Karl-Anthony Towns · rebounds 11.5 → 13 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.5 min · no final price

Jalen Brunson · points 27.5 → 29 · 1.5 above the line · played 43.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BOS vs NYK · last 34 games · BOS leads · BOS record 19–15 · average score 110.6–107.9 · BOS has won by 2.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

23 Oct · NYK 103 at BOS 107BOS won

9 Apr · BOS 106 at NYK 112BOS lost

What each defense gives up per game

NYK gives up102.3 points · 39.8 rebounds · 25.1 assists · 33.7% from three-point range

BOS gives up104.0 points · 43.4 rebounds · 25.0 assists · 33.5% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

NYK gives up 102.3 points a game · 1st of 30 · league average 113.3−11.0 vs average

BOS gives up 104.0 points a game · 2nd of 30 · league average 113.3−9.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 66

sds games/date (2025-05-02)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-03)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 36 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-25)ok 200 · 53 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-04)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-26)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-30)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-27)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-29)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-23)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-01)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-24)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 58 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 58 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-28)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-22)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 61 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 79 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 133 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 156 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 160 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-21)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 178 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 18 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 249 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 319 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 107 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 419 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 43 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 56 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 59 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 61 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 64 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 216 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 242 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 263 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 265 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 302 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 302 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 303 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 304 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 321 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 391 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 427 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 439 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 443 ms

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The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.