NBA · May 10 gameAll props Full sheet

Boston Celtics at New York Knicks

FinalBOS 115 – NYK 93Page updated 19:43 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 4 availability alerts

Out Williams · two-way · BOS

Out Carter · two-way · BOS

Out George · illness · BOS

May not play Towns · left sore calf (calf) · NYK

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Williams · two-way · BOS

Out Carter · two-way · BOS

Out George · illness · BOS

May not play Towns · left sore calf (calf) · NYK

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 26.5 → 24 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

points 27.5 → 22 actual

Mitchell Robinson · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 8 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 23 actual

New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson · minutes unknown

points 26.5 → 27 actual

Josh Hart · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 6 actual

Karl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown

rebounds 11.5 → 15 actual

Mikal Bridges · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 12 actual

Miles McBride · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 5 actual

OG Anunoby · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 5.5 · both teams together expected to score about 210 points · odds to win: BOS 1.44, NYK 2.99

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 19:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:43 UTC

Who is out

Out Williams · two-way · BOS

Out Carter · two-way · BOS

Out George · illness · BOS

Hart · likely to play · illness · NYK

May not play Towns · left sore calf (calf) · NYK

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 223 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Payton Pritchard · points 8.5 → 23 · 14.5 above the line · played 34.5 min · no final price

OG Anunoby · rebounds 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 31.4 min · no final price

Mitchell Robinson · rebounds 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 18.9 min · no final price

Josh Hart · rebounds 9.5 → 6 · 3.5 below the line · played 34.1 min · no final price

Karl-Anthony Towns · rebounds 11.5 → 15 · 3.5 above the line · played 36.5 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · points 27.5 → 22 · 5.5 below the line · played 39.7 min · no final price

Mikal Bridges · points 14.5 → 12 · 2.5 below the line · played 38.1 min · no final price

Derrick White · points + rebounds + assists 26.5 → 24 · 2.5 below the line · played 33.6 min · no final price

Miles McBride · points 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.6 min · no final price

Jalen Brunson · points 26.5 → 27 · 0.5 above the line · played 39.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NYK vs BOS · last 34 games · BOS leads · NYK record 15–19 · average score 107.9–110.6 · NYK has lost by 2.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

23 Oct · NYK 103 at BOS 107NYK lost

9 Apr · BOS 106 at NYK 112NYK won

What each defense gives up per game

BOS gives up104.0 points · 43.4 rebounds · 25.0 assists · 33.5% from three-point range

NYK gives up102.3 points · 39.8 rebounds · 25.1 assists · 33.7% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

BOS gives up 104.0 points a game · 2nd of 30 · league average 113.3−9.3 vs average

NYK gives up 102.3 points a game · 1st of 30 · league average 113.3−11.0 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 5.5, expected total 210 (Sat 19:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 19:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 63

sds games/date (2025-05-08)ok 200 · 94 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-03)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-02)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 204 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-09)ok 200 · 233 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-07)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-06)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-05)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-04)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-01)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-30)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-29)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-28)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-27)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-26)ok 200 · 236 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 271 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 273 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 275 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 305 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 348 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 370 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 375 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 383 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 388 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 152 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 711 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 954 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 2804 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 44 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 50 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 52 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 53 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 183 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 184 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 186 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 198 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 201 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 203 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 227 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 294 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 380 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 629 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 701 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.