NBA · Feb 5 gameAll props Full sheet

San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks

FinalSAS 135 – DAL 123Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes13 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

San Antonio Spurs

De'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Dylan Harper · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 5 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 12 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 18 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 6 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Caleb Martin · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 10 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 4 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

SAS also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 260 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Harrison Barnes · 3-pointers 1.5 → 5 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Victor Wembanyama · assists 2.5 → 6 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.15, Under 1.33

Devin Vassell · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.1 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.53, Under 2.30

Caleb Martin · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 31.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Max Christie · assists 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 37.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Dylan Harper · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 19.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

De'Aaron Fox · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.9 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.11

Cooper Flagg · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 7.5 → 10 · 2.5 above the line · played 33 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Julian Champagnie · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Stephon Castle · points 15.5 → 18 · 2.5 above the line · played 21.7 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Naji Marshall · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Keldon Johnson · points 13.5 → 12 · 1.5 below the line · played 19.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs SAS · last 26 games · DAL leads · DAL record 19–7 · average score 119.5–116.4 · DAL has won by 3.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · DAL 120 at SAS 139DAL lost

7 Feb · DAL 125 at SAS 138DAL lost

5 Feb · SAS 135 at DAL 123DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 58

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 20 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 21 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 104 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 124 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 127 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 128 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 129 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 130 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 133 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 135 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 136 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 58 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 65 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 281 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 502 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 945 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 988 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1020 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1034 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1034 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1040 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1041 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1039 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1042 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1041 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1040 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1041 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1041 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1043 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.